Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Sarah Palin sparks 2012 elections speculation
POLITICO ^ | 05/25/11 | ANDY BARR

Posted on 05/27/2011 3:51:37 PM PDT by reformjoy

Palin moves spark 2012 speculation

By: Andy Barr
May 25, 2011 07:41 PM EDT

Sarah Palin is fond of saying she’ll feel compelled to run for president “if nobody else were to step up.”

It just might come to that.

The recent departures of Mitch Daniels and Mike Huckabee from the 2012 GOP field, combined with a flurry of recent moves by Palin—staff changes, the purchase of a home in Arizona, the Iowa premiere of a new feature-length film extolling the former Alaska governor—is rekindling speculation that she sees an opportunity in 2012 and may be thinking more seriously than ever about a presidential run.

John Ziegler, a conservative filmmaker and activist close to Palin, said he believes the ex-governor is closer to a run now than she’s ever been.

“I have felt for a while that she is probably running and its seems more clear than ever that she is,” said Ziegler, who interviewed Palin for a different film, “Media Malpractice: How Obama Got Elected and Palin Was Targeted.”

“The movie is a great idea. I suggested a similar concept to her a long time ago and I am sure it will be fantastic viewing. I am concerned though that it seems there are at least some people involved in it who are not actual Palin loyalists and that its hoped for impact may be based on an overly optimistic view of the nature of the electorate,” he said.

Palin herself has stoked the fires with her comments, including telling Fox News’s Greta Van Susteren that she indeed has “the fire in the belly” to make a bid for the White House.

The launch of a new SarahPAC website last month also fanned speculation since it provided a vehicle to collect email addresses of her supporters and start interacting more directly with her potential donors and activists. Palin recently used the growing list to send a fund-raising mailer to supporters in South Carolina, a common strategy that those close to Palin say will continue to bring money into her organization.

“No ands, ifs or buts about it, Sarah Palin is going to run for president,” asserted Alaska pollster Ivan Moore in a column last week, pointing to a convergence of conditions that make the timing for a Palin campaign perfect.

The former governor’s aides declined to speak to POLITICO about her thinking, but have acknowledged in discussions about the 2012 race that there is an opening for her and have said repeatedly that no other candidate’s decision would affect her own. Palin’s camp has ignored outside pressure to commit to running and is privately eying July as the last month they could enter the race, if the former governor wanted to throw the switch.

For months, Palin’s camp has been talking about hiring additional staff and planning high profile travel — though much of it has yet to come to pass. Still, her staff is keenly aware of filing deadlines and is preparing as if she is running, even if they don’t know the final decision. Palin’s team also closely monitors the actions of her potential 2012 GOP rivals, particularly what the other perspective candidates say about her.

The purchase of a home in Scottsdale, Arizona — confirmed by a source close to Palin — may have solved one of the major logistical impediments to a campaign by providing her with a perch near a major airline hub in the lower 48 states that would allow her to travel more freely. Her staff has repeatedly declined to answer questions that Palin would run a potential campaign from Scottsdale—and there is scant evidence that discussions have yet gone that far.

The former governor’s team expects to have one advantage that other prospective 2012 candidates do not—due to her stature in the party, they don’t believe they have to operate by the same rules as the other campaigns. Those who would make up team Palin are counting on a flood of small dollar donations if she enters the race and believe her strong core of support and near-universal name identification keeps them from having to take part in the early stages of the long slog toward Iowa.


Ed Morrissey, an influential conservative blogger for the site Hot Air agreed that traditional campaign rules don’t apply to the 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee.

“Palin’s got a longer window to make this decision than most of the other candidates do,” said Morrissey. “She has almost universal name organization and I’d imagine her organization would come together rather quickly…She could probably wait until at least Labor Day.”

A Gallup poll conducted after Huckabee’s exit from the presidential race confirmed that Palin remains well-entrenched near the top of the field, taking 18 percent and finishing second only to former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.

Palin has been quiet since her trip to Washington a few weeks ago to rub elbows with the city’s elite ahead of the White House Corespondents Dinner and speech to an anti-abortion rights group in Bethesda.

In the absence of any hard evidence that Palin is building the infrastructure for a presidential bid—and a number of incentives to stay out of the race—many Republicans continue to doubt she’ll plunge in.

“She has a fulfilling array of activities with a solid income, adoring fans at her speaking engagements, and time for a wonderful family life,” said Fred Malek, a major Republican fundraiser in Washington and one of the former governor’s few friends among the Republican establishment. “I haven’t talked to her in four months but seriously doubt it’d be in her interests to change that.”


Republican strategist Mary Matalin pointed out that Palin is one of the few politicians who can “pull rabbits out of hats,” but expressed little expectation that she will.

Matalin suggested Huckabee’s decision to stay away from the campaign could prove to be key to Palin’s decision-making process.

“Huckabee’s departure would be a greater factor in her strategic thinking than the departing (that is, never entering) candidates who were not playing to her strength,” Matalin said of Palin.

Jonathan Martin contributed reporting to this story.



TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 1hotlady; 2012palin; 2smart4hillary; election; johnziegler; martin4romney; mediamalpractice; notrunning; palin; palin2012; politico4romney; pollutico; pr4therinoromney; president; rinobots4mitt; rinoromney; rinoromneypr; romneybotstench; romneybs; romneydirtytricks; romneyflack; romneyprrep; rumors4romney; sarahpalin; stenchofromney
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-86 last
To: humblegunner

“Media notwithstanding, my point is that not everyone who dislikes a candidate - or potential candidate - does so out of fear.”

In that you are right.


81 posted on 05/28/2011 4:15:08 PM PDT by Forty-Niner (Palin/West 2012)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: truthguy
We need to nominate that candidate who have the best shot at knocking off Obama.

That would be Sarah Palin. No question.

82 posted on 05/28/2011 6:11:32 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 79 | View Replies]

To: Windflier
We need to nominate that candidate who have the best shot at knocking off Obama.

That would be Sarah Palin. No question.

What do you base that upon? I'm not saying you are wrong or right, I'm just asking what you base that upon. Because you are passionate about Palin doesn't translate to electoral votes on the first Tuesday in Nov 2012.

There are huge numbers of people who are gonna vote for Obama no matter what. Blacks are gonna vote 95% for Obama no matter what.

Hispanics are gonna vote 75-80% for Obama no matter what.

White Liberals are gonna vote for Obama 90% no matter what.

Asians are gonna vote for Obama 65% no matter what.

Under 30 people are stupid as the day is long and Obama is gonna win 65% or so of these voters.

What does this mean? It means that we could have 20% unemployment, 30% Inflation, Gas @$10/gal and Obama is still gonna get 40% of the vote. It means that the Republicans need to win over a huge percentage of Independent Voters to sweak out a victory in 2012. So because you are passionate about Palin doesn't mean a thing. Is she the type of person who can win the votes of these people? I don't know. Nobody knows if she can do this at a greater amount than the other candidates.

And please keep this in mind. You need 270 electoral votes to win. The Democrats already have California for sure with 55. Nothing can change that. Add New York, Illinois, most of New England and a few other places and Obama is already very close to 220. Many conservatives on this site are under the illusion that there is a huge pool of conservatives who stay home on election day because there are no candidates that they favor. ABSOLUTE GARBAGE. That's an illusion and a dangerous one at that. There are no vast amount of conservatives that stay at home election day just waiting for Sarah or someone like her. They don't exist in any significant numbers. And to the extent they do exist, they reside in states that the Republicans are gonna win anyhow.

So in conclusion I want to emphasize that people here need to understand that those here on FR are in a fairly small minority. Sarah Palin voters and supporters are gonna vote for any Republican who is nominated in 2012. Can she or any other Republican bring in new people? That's what the election is gonna depend on.
83 posted on 05/29/2011 11:48:58 AM PDT by truthguy (Good intentions are not enough.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 82 | View Replies]

To: truthguy
"That would be Sarah Palin. No question."

What do you base that upon? I'm not saying you are wrong or right, I'm just asking what you base that upon. Because you are passionate about Palin doesn't translate to electoral votes on the first Tuesday in Nov 2012.

Sheeesh, friend, you're asking me for a dissertation, and I just ain't up to it at the moment.

You're a long time Freeper. You read here every day. You can't possibly have missed the hundreds upon hundreds of articles related to Palin over the last two+ years. If you've read most of them (as I have), and have closely tracked the thousands of opinions and data points therein, you already know the answer to the question you're asking.

You may as well be asking me why water's wet, or why the sun is hot. It just is, and you can trek backwards to discover all of the reasons why, if you like.

The fact is, there simply isn't anyone running for the presidency who can hold a candle to Sarah Palin. The nomination and the White House are hers for the taking, if she decides that's what she needs to do for her country.

Millions upon millions stand ready to catapult her to the top, just as soon as she gives the word. She is an historic figure, of a type that has rarely been seen in US politics. The people perceive this about her, and resonate with her at a core level. No other US politician has this effect on people. None - including Zero.

She also has the right stuff when it comes to solid, real life qualifications for the office. Score all of the prospective contenders on a host of key qualifications, and Palin outdoes them all. This really isn't rocket science.

84 posted on 05/29/2011 12:09:40 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 83 | View Replies]

To: Windflier
Millions upon millions stand ready to catapult her to the top, just as soon as she gives the word. She is an historic figure, of a type that has rarely been seen in US politics. The people perceive this about her, and resonate with her at a core level. No other US politician has this effect on people. None - including Zero.

You haven't given me one fact that makes Palin a better candidate to knock off Obama than a number of the others. Those millions who will vote for Palin are gonna vote for any Republican. Historical Figure? Upon reflection don't you think that's a little over the top? Washington, Jefferson, Madison, Lincoln, those are historical figures. You've put her in with those people? Give me a break.

I may have an advantage on you. I live in the SF Bay area. I'm in a sea of liberalism. I have liberal relatives, friends, and co-workers. So I'm exposed to many people who aren't conservatives and don't post on FR. I listen to talk radio and the opinions of lots of people who do not share my very conservative views. So when I hear about the countless number of conservatives who are stimulated by Palin, I don't see it. Remember an enthusiastic vote is counted the same as a lackadaisical vote.
85 posted on 05/29/2011 12:30:41 PM PDT by truthguy (Good intentions are not enough.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 84 | View Replies]

To: truthguy
You haven't given me one fact that makes Palin a better candidate to knock off Obama than a number of the others.

No, and it's not my job to give you the facts. If you're still wanting for facts and well-reasoned conclusions about the GOP field, and where Palin stands in it at this point, I can't help you.

Study period is over, my friend. The game is on, and you'd better take what you've got and choose whom to support.

86 posted on 05/29/2011 2:02:11 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 85 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-86 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson