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Manufacturing Surveys Imply US Economy Has Entered The Second Month Of A (Re)Recession
Zero Hedge ^ | 06/27/2011 | Tyler Durden

Posted on 06/27/2011 5:05:14 PM PDT by The Magical Mischief Tour

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To: Loyal Sedition

Whatever you’re ordering is produced in ‘batches’: a factory or factory line or a machine in the factory is set up to make that product. Enough to fill orders -and some ‘inventory stock’- is produced and then something else is made.
Presently they make a very small amount of ‘inventory stock’ so they run out before the schedule calls for making it again.

They don’t run out because they have a lot of orders but because they don’t make enough.
In their min-max equation efficiency is maximized at the cost of supply.


21 posted on 06/27/2011 6:31:19 PM PDT by mrsmith
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To: Loyal Sedition

I think one should bag Just In Time Inventory for the forseeable future. Stock up when you can, and design around what you cannot get.


22 posted on 06/27/2011 6:38:21 PM PDT by Chickensoup (The right to bear arms is proved to prevent government genocide. Protect yourself!)
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To: Michael Barnes

I think one should bag Just In Time Inventory for the forseeable future. Stock up when you can, and design around what you cannot get.


23 posted on 06/27/2011 6:39:19 PM PDT by Chickensoup (The right to bear arms is proved to prevent government genocide. Protect yourself!)
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To: mrsmith; Loyal Sedition; NVDave
They don’t run out because they have a lot of orders but because they don’t make enough. In their min-max equation efficiency is maximized at the cost of supply.

Analogous to "shock" in a medical sense: all the blood vessels open at the same time leading to a disastrous drop in blood pressure.

No cheers, unfortunately.

24 posted on 06/27/2011 7:37:01 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: Loyal Sedition
Um, OK, I’m not an economist.

This may be the wrong thread to ask, but, riddle me this!

It seems that EVERY time I attempt to purchase items needed for MY manufacturing efforts, they are on back-order.

US Manufacturing companies going Gault

This may be the wrong thread to ask, but, riddle me this!

Not at all.

You asked a great question....

The best answers come from excellent questions.

25 posted on 06/27/2011 7:58:27 PM PDT by spokeshave (Obamas approval ratings are so low, Kenyans are accusing him of being born in the USA.)
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To: Loyal Sedition
My situation is somewhat different from yours, being in apparel, but the problem with purchasing necessary components and materials is the same.

We've had to resort to importing yarn in several instances because there are so few suppliers that manufacture what we need domestically anymore. The few who do, have spotty supply or are on perpetual backorder. I suspect they're operating on a wing and a prayer and are only themselves manufacturing what they know to have customers at any given moment, leaving gaps in the product available to sell. Enough people screaming for this or that item leads to eventually fulfilling the demand, but they no longer stock it, and truth be known don't plan to stock it.

Sound about right?

26 posted on 06/27/2011 8:06:35 PM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: LibLieSlayer
"The truth is that we are now and have been in a depression and the art of the lie is all that the government and the dims have left.

The "deception" you mention is the best deception of all, right in front of peoples noses.

GDP is a product of private economic activity IN ADDITION to all government expenditures and "investments".

We have spent somewhere between 3 and 4 TRILLION dollars in the last 3 years propping up GDP, fully 10% of the economy has been the product of the printing press.

Were it not for government spending the GDP would have shown between 10 and 15% shrinkage annually over that same period.

A depression by ANY measure.

27 posted on 06/27/2011 8:10:17 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: familyop

Unexpected??


28 posted on 06/27/2011 8:23:39 PM PDT by screaminsunshine (Socialism...Easier said than done.)
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To: Mariner
The math is so simple and the people are so gullible... but the “Sleeping Tiger” is once again awakening... and he is going to be pissed and hungry! The truth will out soon... and I look for the dollar to collapse... geitner and bernanke are both either idiots, communist operatives... or both.

LLS

29 posted on 06/28/2011 4:40:38 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer ("GIVE ME LIBERTY OR GIVE ME DEATH"! I choose LIBERTY and PALIN!)
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To: Loyal Sedition
Here is the truth... companies like Bombardier or gm or Ford are reducing overhead and cutting expenses to the bone... they project the need for product in advance and order accordingly... warehouses are not full of parts... they are producing only that which they are assured that they can sell... many have cut employee levels to the bone... it takes time to fill backorders. How do I know this? I have contacted at least a dozen vendors and this is what they tell me is why there are shortages in products and parts.

A certain German manufacturer of cryogenic valving moved their production to India about a year ago... they lost six months of production due to quality control issues and had to move production back to Germany... those orders will be filled by December or January. There are many reasons for shortages and these are examples of why.

LLS

30 posted on 06/28/2011 4:46:36 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer ("GIVE ME LIBERTY OR GIVE ME DEATH"! I choose LIBERTY and PALIN!)
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To: mrsmith

Your explanation makes perfect sense. It also explains a strategic manufacturing contraction done to protect assets. Once competitors are out of the market prices and production of goods can be increased to return to profitability.


31 posted on 06/28/2011 6:11:38 AM PDT by Justa
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To: NVDave

Japan’s meltdown happened in March - lots of economic changes happened around the same time. Could that be a factor?


32 posted on 06/29/2011 8:32:35 PM PDT by GOPJ (Black flash mobs: street level reflections of elite liberal hate for middle class America..)
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour

Nothing will turn our economy around until we stop sending jobs and money to China.

Nothing.


33 posted on 06/29/2011 8:35:06 PM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (BUY AMERICAN. The job you save will be your son's, or your daughter's)
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To: GOPJ

Not as much as projected.


34 posted on 06/29/2011 9:58:20 PM PDT by NVDave
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