For the sake of argument, let's say your numbers are correct. That would still mean that the Jewish voters could be decisive if the race in PA is decided by two points or less or if the race in Ohio is decided by one point or less. Neither of those scenarios are outside the realm of possibility.
For two-point or less elections, finding unregistered evangelicals, or flipping Democrat-voting self-proclaimed evangelicals is far more realistic.
Jews matter big-time, just not the actual ballot numbers and location.