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To: Wonder Warthog

Occam sez if it sounds too good to be true, it probably is.

And Rogaine hair restorer, if it really worked well, they wouldn’t need to advertise it.

TV’s Ronco used to plead, “But wait, there’s more!” I ain’t waiting. I suppose there’s more Rossi E-Cat coming, but I ain’t gonna chase after it and beg for info.


9 posted on 07/16/2011 4:18:08 AM PDT by flowerplough (Bammy: It frustrates me when people talk about government jobs as if somehow those are worth less.)
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To: flowerplough
"Occam sez if it sounds too good to be true, it probably is."

Note the word "probably". Sometimes "Occam" is wrong. But I don't use "Occam" to make judgments. I prefer data.

10 posted on 07/16/2011 4:28:45 AM PDT by Wonder Warthog
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To: flowerplough

Occam sez if it sounds too good to be true, it probably is.
***No, that aint what Occham sez.

“Entities should not be multiplied unnecessarily.”

It is perceived to mean that the simplest explanation is the best.

Here is where Occham will prove Cold Fusion to be real:

Let’s say your objection to those 14,000 observations is that the operators don’t know calorimetry well enough, even though everyone who does these experiments is aware of the objection. Let’s say the chances of making a calorimetry error are 1/3. The chances of EVERYONE involved making substantial error is 1/3*1/3*1/3... 14thousand times... making it (1/3)^14000. The mathematical cutoff point for the impossible is typicall (1/10)^50. That makes you off by billions and billions, by thousands of orders of magnitude.

So let’s introduce a new Occham Impossibility Magnum (OIM), which is 10^-50. In a more-or-less typical cold fusion theory, KP Sinha describes how 100 ORDERS OF MAGNITUDE are shaved off modern physics equations. That would be 2 OIMs.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2743039/posts?q=1&;page=112

Naturally, the physicists huff & puff about how someone like KP Sinha is a charlatan because of those 2 OIMs. But in that huffin’ and puffin’ they overlook 70 OIMs.

“Entities should not be multiplied unnecessarily.”


16 posted on 07/16/2011 8:26:35 AM PDT by Kevmo (Turning the Party over to the so-called moderates wouldn't make any sense at all. ~Ronald Reagan)
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