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Debt Crisis In Europe, Not U.S., Is Real Risk To Global Recovery
IBD Editorials ^ | August 9, 2011 | ROBERT J. SAMUELSON

Posted on 08/09/2011 4:11:42 PM PDT by Kaslin

Europe may no longer be able to save itself. Too many countries have too much debt. Its economic growth — which helps countries service their debts — is too feeble. And nervous financial markets seem increasingly prone to dump the bonds of vulnerable countries.

This is the real risk to the global and U.S. economic recoveries, far overshadowing Standard & Poor's downgrade of U.S. Treasury debt and Monday's sharp stock market decline.

Europe represents about one-fifth of the world economy and buys about a quarter of American exports. While Europe's debt crisis was confined to a few small countries, they could be rescued; other European countries supplied loans to substitute for the credit denied by private lending markets.

In 2010, Greek, Irish and Portuguese government debt totaled about 640 billion euros (about $910 billion), less than 7% of the 9.8 trillion euros of debt of all members of the European Union.

With Spain, Italy and possibly France now under financial assault, the situation changes dramatically.

There are more debtor nations and more debt at risk. In 2010, Italy's debt was 1.8 trillion euros; Spain's 639 billion euros; and France's 1.6 trillion euros. But there are fewer countries that can support a rescue; and some of them have heavy debts.

Even Germany's ratio of debt-to-GDP, a measure of debt in relation to its economy, was a hefty 83% last year, similar to France's. (The big difference between France and Germany is that Germany's economy is growing faster.)

(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Editorial; Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: default; downgrade; economy; italy

1 posted on 08/09/2011 4:11:47 PM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Well, at least London is looking ok lately - if you like weenie roasts. ;-)


2 posted on 08/09/2011 4:14:47 PM PDT by RobRoy (The US today: Revelation 18:4)
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To: RobRoy

Another one crawls out of the crypt to tell us all is fine.


3 posted on 08/09/2011 4:21:49 PM PDT by fantom (,)
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To: fantom
They are creating shovel ready projects.

The Gulf States can buy England now.

4 posted on 08/09/2011 5:09:39 PM PDT by scooby321
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To: Kaslin
Eurosocialism has been the bedrock for leftism in the US since the fall of the USSR and probably since the 60’s.

As it's starting to go the same way as the USSR (the more socialist the faster a country will fall) I wonder where they'll look next?

China isn't really good for them. I assume they'll just buckle down harder and blame the rightwingers like all the commies since Marx have for sabotaging their glorious plans.

5 posted on 08/09/2011 5:12:49 PM PDT by Tolsti2
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To: scooby321

Shovel ready to bury the dead?


6 posted on 08/09/2011 11:30:41 PM PDT by DB
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