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Is Romney’s nomination ‘inevitable’?
The Washington Post ^ | 10/12/2011 | Jennifer Rubin

Posted on 10/12/2011 4:26:14 PM PDT by delacoert

If you Google “Romney inevitable” you get 1,980,000 results. The Romney campaign is hoping that the more his inevitability is discussed, the truer it will become. There is something to that. Political players want to be on the winning team. Donors don’t want to waste their money.

It’s heady stuff, I imagine, for the Romney team to read pieces like this by Jonathan Martin: “Hours after Chris Christie signaled he believes Mitt Romney is the Republican party’s inevitable nominee, Romney and the rest of the GOP field went about proving him right. Romney again outclassed the opposition in Tuesday’s Bloomberg/Washington Post debate. Again, none of the other GOP contenders laid a glove on him.”

But the notion that any candidate’s win is “inevitable” months before votes are cast is silly. Romney is without a doubt the front-runner with considerable momentum and weak opposition. But lots can happen, and there are dangers from attaining not only front-runner but media-denominated “inevitable” status.

First and foremost, the expectation is growing that he will or should win Iowa. Sure, he’s not spent much time there, but what if he loses to a revived Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.)? That would sap some momentum and wipe out the inevitability chatter quickly.

Second, Romney can overplay the establishment consensus angle. Does getting the backing of former Speaker of the House Dennis Hastert really make sense? (His defenders will argue that sometimes smaller fish induce bigger catches.) He should stop before he gets to former Florida governor Charlie Crist and Sen. Dick Lugar (R-Ind.), both of whom are reviled by conservatives.

Third, he could take a beating in South Carolina, as John McCain did in 2000, and head downward after that. It’s easier to lose when you aren’t expected to win; it’s another thing to get beaten in

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: ineligibleromney; romney4911mosque; romney4bigdig; romney4deathcare; romney4deathpanels; romney4dnc; romney4feetaxes; romney4iag; romney4obamacare; romney4romney; romney4sharia; romney4whatever
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The article goes on to suggest that maybe Republicans "conservatives" can pick a conservative in the end. Unfortunately it seems to suggest Santorum.
1 posted on 10/12/2011 4:26:18 PM PDT by delacoert
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To: delacoert
I thought Santorum did very well last night. He was the only one who really went after that idiotic 9-9-9 with guns blazing. He earned some points with me for that.

Bachmann is not going to be president. Newt has too much baggage. Paul is a lunatic. Perry is a dunce. So why not look at Santorum?

Oh yeah, because he doesn't have a sonorous voice like Cain. And the cult-of-personality types, including Palin's fan base, have already fallen in puppy love with Cain. Must be the booming voice. Can't be his idiotic tax plan.

2 posted on 10/12/2011 4:29:41 PM PDT by Huck (NO FEDERAL SALES TAX -- UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES)
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To: delacoert

I fear that a Republican loss is inevitable, if he is nominated.


3 posted on 10/12/2011 4:30:21 PM PDT by cvq3842
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To: delacoert

If Mittens is the nominee, Obama wins by default.

Anyone but Rombamaney!!


4 posted on 10/12/2011 4:34:13 PM PDT by madmaximus (Liberaltarians=junkies,perverts,anti-semites,anti-military,cultural marxists without all the taxes)
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To: delacoert
No.

And having watched the debate I would not say that Romney outclassed the others.

He did fine and he comes across well in such a setting...but Cain did well, Perry was not bad, Newt was very sharp, etc., etc.

I felt Huntsman was handed his own by Romney...and I felt Romney handled Perry's question of him regarding the MA Health Care bill well...though I do not agree with Romney's health care. He just parried Perry pretty well on the question.

But Romney is certainly not inevitable. I am for Cain right now, and he is surging.

We'll see what Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina bring before making hard predictions.

5 posted on 10/12/2011 4:36:05 PM PDT by Jeff Head (Liberty is not free. Never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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To: delacoert
Romney is the "electable" candidate. That's his whole campaign. On the same level, John Kerry was the "electable" candidate in 2004 who could beat George W Bush.

Oh wait..he lost.

6 posted on 10/12/2011 4:37:17 PM PDT by Darren McCarty (Perry and Cain I can support, but no Romney)
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To: Huck

Lots of people have their “push button” issues. A federal sales tax is obviously yours.

I am not going to argue that Cain’s 999 plan either way because I don’t know enough about it. I do know, however, that the tax system as it currently exists is a gawdawful chalie-fox that is in drastic need of an overhaul.

Based on that, I have no problem with using the 999 plan as a starting point for discussions aimed at cutting the Gordion knot and replacing the current nonsense with something that works.


7 posted on 10/12/2011 4:38:30 PM PDT by Ronin (If we were serious about using the death penalty as a deterrent, we would bring back public hangings)
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To: Huck
I personally really like Santorum, but he lost by 20% for reelection in a key swing state.

I'm getting real sour about our choices.

8 posted on 10/12/2011 4:38:38 PM PDT by Darren McCarty (Perry and Cain I can support, but no Romney)
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To: delacoert

I met Mitt Romney when he was 15. No way NEVER! Staying home. No vote!


9 posted on 10/12/2011 4:38:58 PM PDT by Doc Savage ("I've shot people I like a lot more,...for a lot less!" Raylan Givins)
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To: delacoert
Unfortunately it seems to suggest Santorum.

Really? You would rather have Mittens than a dyed in the wool, solid Conservative with little baggage like Rick? Mittens can and will be beaten. We just need to coalesce around the best, most viable Conservative. Easier said than done, but doable.

10 posted on 10/12/2011 4:38:58 PM PDT by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: delacoert

I’m guessing that when the lower tier candidates bow out, their support will likely transfer to Cain, not Romney.


11 posted on 10/12/2011 4:39:34 PM PDT by umgud
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To: delacoert

I was talking with another Catholics lady yesterday and we both voiced the opinion that we have NOT seen the Republican candidate yet.


12 posted on 10/12/2011 4:39:47 PM PDT by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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To: delacoert
It works like this, if everyone votes for Cain he wins.
13 posted on 10/12/2011 4:40:39 PM PDT by org.whodat (Just another heartless American, hated by Perry and his fellow democrat)
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To: delacoert
All the Republicans should be hammering out this slogan...

If you love obamacare you're going to love Romney

14 posted on 10/12/2011 4:41:22 PM PDT by Evil Slayer (Onward, Christian soldiers, marching as to war)
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To: Darren McCarty
I personally really like Santorum, but he lost by 20% for reelection in a key swing state.

I know. You're right.

I'm getting real sour about our choices.

It's rough. I know. They are ALL bad choices. No sense deluding ourselves about it.

15 posted on 10/12/2011 4:42:36 PM PDT by Huck (NO FEDERAL SALES TAX -- UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES)
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To: org.whodat

ok, so what about my vote for romney?


16 posted on 10/12/2011 4:44:36 PM PDT by brivette
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To: org.whodat

ok, so what about my vote for romney?


17 posted on 10/12/2011 4:44:38 PM PDT by brivette
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To: Lazlo in PA
Cain now strong in several polls, the freshness of the outsider.

Santorum radio ad in Iowa very likable.

Romney and smarmy go together like molasses and January which is where he'll be then.

Cain the outsider will pair with the right experienced conservative.

Santorum. Gingrich. Bachmann.


18 posted on 10/12/2011 4:45:34 PM PDT by PhilDragoo (Hussein: Islamo-Commie from Kenya)
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To: delacoert

19 posted on 10/12/2011 4:52:44 PM PDT by Diogenesis ("Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. " Pres. Ronald Reagan)
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To: Darren McCarty

“Romney is the “electable” candidate. That’s his whole campaign. On the same level, John Kerry was the “electable” candidate in 2004 who could beat George W Bush.
Oh wait..he lost. “

Very good point, and remember the Dems fell for that same nonsense in 2004 with a flip-flopper from Mass, whom the Bush campaign was able to run tv ads with his own words contradicting himself. The one I remember best was “I actually voted for the $87 billion, BEFORE I voted against it.”

Romney’s flip-flops make Kerry look like a down to earth straight arrow by comparison. The Dems and the MSM will have a field day ripping him to shreds. They will successfully dispirit the GOP base and turn off independents who want a candidate that stands for SOMETHING.


20 posted on 10/12/2011 4:53:40 PM PDT by lquist1
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