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Is Romney’s nomination ‘inevitable’?
The Washington Post ^ | 10/12/2011 | Jennifer Rubin

Posted on 10/12/2011 4:26:14 PM PDT by delacoert

If you Google “Romney inevitable” you get 1,980,000 results. The Romney campaign is hoping that the more his inevitability is discussed, the truer it will become. There is something to that. Political players want to be on the winning team. Donors don’t want to waste their money.

It’s heady stuff, I imagine, for the Romney team to read pieces like this by Jonathan Martin: “Hours after Chris Christie signaled he believes Mitt Romney is the Republican party’s inevitable nominee, Romney and the rest of the GOP field went about proving him right. Romney again outclassed the opposition in Tuesday’s Bloomberg/Washington Post debate. Again, none of the other GOP contenders laid a glove on him.”

But the notion that any candidate’s win is “inevitable” months before votes are cast is silly. Romney is without a doubt the front-runner with considerable momentum and weak opposition. But lots can happen, and there are dangers from attaining not only front-runner but media-denominated “inevitable” status.

First and foremost, the expectation is growing that he will or should win Iowa. Sure, he’s not spent much time there, but what if he loses to a revived Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.)? That would sap some momentum and wipe out the inevitability chatter quickly.

Second, Romney can overplay the establishment consensus angle. Does getting the backing of former Speaker of the House Dennis Hastert really make sense? (His defenders will argue that sometimes smaller fish induce bigger catches.) He should stop before he gets to former Florida governor Charlie Crist and Sen. Dick Lugar (R-Ind.), both of whom are reviled by conservatives.

Third, he could take a beating in South Carolina, as John McCain did in 2000, and head downward after that. It’s easier to lose when you aren’t expected to win; it’s another thing to get beaten in

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: ineligibleromney; romney4911mosque; romney4bigdig; romney4deathcare; romney4deathpanels; romney4dnc; romney4feetaxes; romney4iag; romney4obamacare; romney4romney; romney4sharia; romney4whatever
The article goes on to suggest that maybe Republicans "conservatives" can pick a conservative in the end. Unfortunately it seems to suggest Santorum.
1 posted on 10/12/2011 4:26:18 PM PDT by delacoert
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To: delacoert
I thought Santorum did very well last night. He was the only one who really went after that idiotic 9-9-9 with guns blazing. He earned some points with me for that.

Bachmann is not going to be president. Newt has too much baggage. Paul is a lunatic. Perry is a dunce. So why not look at Santorum?

Oh yeah, because he doesn't have a sonorous voice like Cain. And the cult-of-personality types, including Palin's fan base, have already fallen in puppy love with Cain. Must be the booming voice. Can't be his idiotic tax plan.

2 posted on 10/12/2011 4:29:41 PM PDT by Huck (NO FEDERAL SALES TAX -- UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES)
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To: delacoert

I fear that a Republican loss is inevitable, if he is nominated.


3 posted on 10/12/2011 4:30:21 PM PDT by cvq3842
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To: delacoert

If Mittens is the nominee, Obama wins by default.

Anyone but Rombamaney!!


4 posted on 10/12/2011 4:34:13 PM PDT by madmaximus (Liberaltarians=junkies,perverts,anti-semites,anti-military,cultural marxists without all the taxes)
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To: delacoert
No.

And having watched the debate I would not say that Romney outclassed the others.

He did fine and he comes across well in such a setting...but Cain did well, Perry was not bad, Newt was very sharp, etc., etc.

I felt Huntsman was handed his own by Romney...and I felt Romney handled Perry's question of him regarding the MA Health Care bill well...though I do not agree with Romney's health care. He just parried Perry pretty well on the question.

But Romney is certainly not inevitable. I am for Cain right now, and he is surging.

We'll see what Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina bring before making hard predictions.

5 posted on 10/12/2011 4:36:05 PM PDT by Jeff Head (Liberty is not free. Never has been, never will be. (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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To: delacoert
Romney is the "electable" candidate. That's his whole campaign. On the same level, John Kerry was the "electable" candidate in 2004 who could beat George W Bush.

Oh wait..he lost.

6 posted on 10/12/2011 4:37:17 PM PDT by Darren McCarty (Perry and Cain I can support, but no Romney)
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To: Huck

Lots of people have their “push button” issues. A federal sales tax is obviously yours.

I am not going to argue that Cain’s 999 plan either way because I don’t know enough about it. I do know, however, that the tax system as it currently exists is a gawdawful chalie-fox that is in drastic need of an overhaul.

Based on that, I have no problem with using the 999 plan as a starting point for discussions aimed at cutting the Gordion knot and replacing the current nonsense with something that works.


7 posted on 10/12/2011 4:38:30 PM PDT by Ronin (If we were serious about using the death penalty as a deterrent, we would bring back public hangings)
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To: Huck
I personally really like Santorum, but he lost by 20% for reelection in a key swing state.

I'm getting real sour about our choices.

8 posted on 10/12/2011 4:38:38 PM PDT by Darren McCarty (Perry and Cain I can support, but no Romney)
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To: delacoert

I met Mitt Romney when he was 15. No way NEVER! Staying home. No vote!


9 posted on 10/12/2011 4:38:58 PM PDT by Doc Savage ("I've shot people I like a lot more,...for a lot less!" Raylan Givins)
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To: delacoert
Unfortunately it seems to suggest Santorum.

Really? You would rather have Mittens than a dyed in the wool, solid Conservative with little baggage like Rick? Mittens can and will be beaten. We just need to coalesce around the best, most viable Conservative. Easier said than done, but doable.

10 posted on 10/12/2011 4:38:58 PM PDT by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: delacoert

I’m guessing that when the lower tier candidates bow out, their support will likely transfer to Cain, not Romney.


11 posted on 10/12/2011 4:39:34 PM PDT by umgud
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To: delacoert

I was talking with another Catholics lady yesterday and we both voiced the opinion that we have NOT seen the Republican candidate yet.


12 posted on 10/12/2011 4:39:47 PM PDT by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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To: delacoert
It works like this, if everyone votes for Cain he wins.
13 posted on 10/12/2011 4:40:39 PM PDT by org.whodat (Just another heartless American, hated by Perry and his fellow democrat)
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To: delacoert
All the Republicans should be hammering out this slogan...

If you love obamacare you're going to love Romney

14 posted on 10/12/2011 4:41:22 PM PDT by Evil Slayer (Onward, Christian soldiers, marching as to war)
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To: Darren McCarty
I personally really like Santorum, but he lost by 20% for reelection in a key swing state.

I know. You're right.

I'm getting real sour about our choices.

It's rough. I know. They are ALL bad choices. No sense deluding ourselves about it.

15 posted on 10/12/2011 4:42:36 PM PDT by Huck (NO FEDERAL SALES TAX -- UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES)
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To: org.whodat

ok, so what about my vote for romney?


16 posted on 10/12/2011 4:44:36 PM PDT by brivette
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To: org.whodat

ok, so what about my vote for romney?


17 posted on 10/12/2011 4:44:38 PM PDT by brivette
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To: Lazlo in PA
Cain now strong in several polls, the freshness of the outsider.

Santorum radio ad in Iowa very likable.

Romney and smarmy go together like molasses and January which is where he'll be then.

Cain the outsider will pair with the right experienced conservative.

Santorum. Gingrich. Bachmann.


18 posted on 10/12/2011 4:45:34 PM PDT by PhilDragoo (Hussein: Islamo-Commie from Kenya)
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To: delacoert

19 posted on 10/12/2011 4:52:44 PM PDT by Diogenesis ("Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. " Pres. Ronald Reagan)
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To: Darren McCarty

“Romney is the “electable” candidate. That’s his whole campaign. On the same level, John Kerry was the “electable” candidate in 2004 who could beat George W Bush.
Oh wait..he lost. “

Very good point, and remember the Dems fell for that same nonsense in 2004 with a flip-flopper from Mass, whom the Bush campaign was able to run tv ads with his own words contradicting himself. The one I remember best was “I actually voted for the $87 billion, BEFORE I voted against it.”

Romney’s flip-flops make Kerry look like a down to earth straight arrow by comparison. The Dems and the MSM will have a field day ripping him to shreds. They will successfully dispirit the GOP base and turn off independents who want a candidate that stands for SOMETHING.


20 posted on 10/12/2011 4:53:40 PM PDT by lquist1
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To: Lazlo in PA
No.
21 posted on 10/12/2011 4:55:16 PM PDT by delacoert
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To: PhilDragoo

“Well Phil it’s just one of those things I say when speaking out both sides of the ol flapper. Means as much to me as the word Lie”. “Just a word”.

“A better question would be what do you think I should say and I’ll say exactly that to suit todays audience”

Sincerely,

“Say Anything Romney”.


22 posted on 10/12/2011 4:57:06 PM PDT by liberty or death
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To: Lazlo in PA
Mittens can and will be beaten.

I fear you're right. Why else is the MSM picking him as our nominee. Right out of the gate Zer0's campaign will let it be known that they had Mitten's advisers up to the White Hut to plan how MA RommneyCare could be implemented on a Federal level.

If Mittens is the nominee, Game Over!

23 posted on 10/12/2011 4:58:10 PM PDT by YankeeReb (No matter what, AB0 in 2012.)
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To: Ronin
I wouldn't say it's a push button issue. It's just an obvious, glaring, FATAL flaw in Cain's candidacy, so I'm playing town crier and shouting it from the rooftops, as it were.

If he gets the nomination, we lose. It's that simple. I'm just raising the alarm while the threat exists. Once he's gone, I'll move on to other things.

24 posted on 10/12/2011 5:00:16 PM PDT by Huck (NO FEDERAL SALES TAX -- UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES)
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To: delacoert

Dumb article. I googled “inevitable” and my own, not very common last name and got almost 3 million hits


25 posted on 10/12/2011 5:00:49 PM PDT by dangus
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To: delacoert

Why would any patriot believe a thing from the Marxist slime at the WP?

That fat-azz whore Jennifer can kiss my USMC grits.


26 posted on 10/12/2011 5:01:31 PM PDT by sergeantdave
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To: delacoert
"Third, he could take a beating in South Carolina, as John McCain did in 2000, and head downward after that."

We can only HOPE that happens.......

27 posted on 10/12/2011 5:03:47 PM PDT by traditional1 ("Don't gotsta worry 'bout no mo'gage, don't gotsta worry 'bout no gas; Obama gonna take care o' me!)
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To: Darren McCarty
On the same level, John Kerry was the "electable" candidate in 2004 who could beat George W Bush. Oh wait..he lost.

Against Harold Dean, Dennis Kucinich, Al Sharpton, and Carol Moseley Braun, Kerry may have been the most electable. Talking a lot about Kerry's "electability" made him "nominateable" even though it turned out to be an illusion.

There's a lot of stuff still online from 2004, about Kerry's "electability" or "unelectability." I don't know what to make of it all or how it relates to Romney, but it's all sort of eerily frozen in time, like a prehistoric insect preserved in amber.

28 posted on 10/12/2011 5:06:00 PM PDT by x
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To: Salvation

We can hope and pray. I have been.


29 posted on 10/12/2011 5:06:31 PM PDT by delacoert
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To: Huck
I thought Santorum did very well last night. He was the only one who really went after that idiotic 9-9-9 with guns blazing. He earned some points with me for that.

Really and Santorum was touting what tax plan exactly?

You realize that Santorum has no executive experience what so ever. He has virtually no national name recognition. He is really in this to win a cabinet seat as he brings nothing to the table as far as winning votes in a swing state so he has no shot at a VP spot.

Or did you forget he was beaten as the incumbent Senator in Pennsylvania

30 posted on 10/12/2011 5:11:50 PM PDT by stig
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To: brivette
ok, so what about my vote for romney?

Why would you vote for Romney?

31 posted on 10/12/2011 5:14:35 PM PDT by Graybeard58 (Citizen Cain is good enough for me! - "refermech")
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To: All
An Essay on Mitt Romney Its damning.
32 posted on 10/12/2011 5:17:45 PM PDT by 506Lake (I'll say it again... no more compromise.)
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To: Jeff Head

I’m for Cain


33 posted on 10/12/2011 5:21:22 PM PDT by mel (There are only 2 races decent and undecent people)
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To: delacoert

The only “inevitable” thing about Romney is that is was “inevitable” he would be promoted this way as things shook out after a few debates and a few polls were taken for the MSM and Team Obama to get their bearings on the relative strengths of the GOP candidates. Everyone knows that at this stage, both elected Dems and disillusioned voters are bailing on Obama for a host of reasons: implicit in Chris Christie’s endorsement is his own experience so far in New Jersey: he’s been able to get things going in this blue state like no one else has-—he seems to think Romney would be amenable to those kinds of changes nationwide as the President. I’m not sure about that at all.
If people are assuming that all those now bailing on Obama are going to get onboard with Romney, and that THOSE PEOPLE are going to constitute a needed voting bloc for a Romney win, those same people could get back onboard with Obama as Romney reaches out for them. It seems as though Romney and this new philosophy of winning only moves leftward: never expect former Obama-ites to move rightward. Romney is all about meeting in the middle, and that’s only because he and his team believe that’s the way HE can win. It may be true for him, but it’s not true for all candidates still presenting themselves.
I never thought I’d say this, but after hearing snippets from the most recent debate, Gingrich is saying forceful things in a tone I’d never heard from him before , and “I like it”.
Romney , on the other hand, is still only projecting the kind of “just come to me” overconfidence that we’ve been hearing from Obama for the last 2 1/2 years. Cain may rise in the polls, but the Tea Party needs a real candidate to get behind, and Cain is on the way to being subjected to a piecemeal death-by-a-thousand-cuts by the MSM that will , I think, inevitably do him in.


34 posted on 10/12/2011 5:21:38 PM PDT by supremedoctrine
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To: delacoert

When Jesus speaks from the mount of olives will th MOREMANS administer the LAW from missouri?
MIT ROMNEY said yes that so...
And you say brother?


35 posted on 10/12/2011 5:26:23 PM PDT by Tigen (I shall raise you one .)
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To: supremedoctrine

Newt is the only one in these debates calling out people and issues. It’s almost like he’s fresh air.

Hard to believe he has said that until recently, he didn’t know about Agenda 21.


36 posted on 10/12/2011 5:28:33 PM PDT by combat_boots (The Lion of Judah cometh. Hallelujah. Gloria Patri, Filio et Spiritui Sancto.)
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To: stig
Everything you said about Santorum is true. Supposedly he has a plan on his website, but I haven't bothered to look at it.

Even so, he did a very good thing by helping to expose Cain's idiotic, toxic, fatally flawed plan which will be the death of his candidacy.

37 posted on 10/12/2011 5:33:20 PM PDT by Huck (NO FEDERAL SALES TAX -- UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES)
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To: Tigen

Won’t be in Independence. LOL


38 posted on 10/12/2011 6:01:45 PM PDT by delacoert
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To: Huck

I am with you on Hermans sales tax but Cain has hit a sweet spot with the 999 thing. A pity the others don’t recognize that there is a large constituency in favor of a simple and efficient tax law that will raise the 18% of GDP in federal tax revenues concurrent with legislation that limits spending to 17.5% of GDP. Then we can all just learn to get along as a fellow once said.


39 posted on 10/12/2011 6:03:41 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (t)
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To: delacoert
Thanks to the Rnc run by the Neast elites , the debates are bring run by left wing media to instead Mittens is set up as the nominee who will loose nicely to Obama just like McNuts did .
Why were three radical left operations like PBS , Wash Compost , and Bloomberg ( which a recent UCLA noted was the most far left of all media shops) hosting the debate if its sworn enemy ???
Why????
Would Rush be asked to run a Dem debate ?
Charlie “snotty Manhattan elite “ Rose and Karen “ I hate the GOP” Tumilty ?

Are Mittens moles are running the RNC ???
The debate last night was a farce and a Romney pr event.

40 posted on 10/12/2011 6:18:22 PM PDT by ncalburt (NO MORE WIMPS need to apply to fight the Soros Funded Puppet !)
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To: madmaximus

If Mitt gets the GOP nod—I say bolt to a 3rd Party and Make it win! Trump is looking better and better—a Trump/Palin ticket or a Trump/Cain ticket could do the trick. Lets draft Hillary and make this a four way race! Hillary/Kerry for the far left. Mittens/Huntsman for the Rinos, Obama/Biden for the democrats. Trump/Cain for the Capitalist Party.


41 posted on 10/12/2011 6:20:35 PM PDT by Forward the Light Brigade (Into the Jaws of H*ll)
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To: Huck
Newt has too much baggage.

Over and over this is repeated as indisputable truth while the baggage of Romney stands as no impediment to his nomination. It's irrational.

Once again, Newt owned that debate. Romney spun and preened yet didn't make himself look like a complete idiot. It's all he had to do.

I'd prefer Newt to Romney.

42 posted on 10/12/2011 6:46:49 PM PDT by newzjunkey
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To: newzjunkey
It's a different kind of baggage, at least to me. I'm not nearly as concerned about Newt sitting on a couch with Pelosi as I am about him leaving his cancer stricken wife for a staffer. Newt has a gender gap to begin with; that sort of story is really ugly and won't help.

I just have doubts about Newt and his ego. Honestly, I'm worried about his grandiosity and his judgement. I'm just not sure he is fit for the office.

I hear what you are saying about the debates, but read the transcripts. What he is saying isn't all that earth-shattering. I think he puts on airs of intelligence beyond what is actually there.

43 posted on 10/12/2011 7:35:19 PM PDT by Huck (NO FEDERAL SALES TAX -- UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES)
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To: jwalsh07
Not only do I hate Cain's plan. It seems like dumb strategy. Why tie yourself so completely to such a drastic overhaul, when you as president would have so little power over it anyway? What's the upside?

Meanwhile, not that I'm against reforming our tax code, but I have to question the timing. This upcoming election will be a referendum on Obama. It seems to me that 9-9-9 is an unnecessarily risky gambit at a time when we really need to win.

Why not just run on competence and experience, beat Obama, get the economy going around, THEN make a play for an overhaul of the tax code? It just doesn't make sense to me to throw in a wild card and offer Obama such a lifeline.

44 posted on 10/12/2011 8:09:34 PM PDT by Huck (NO FEDERAL SALES TAX -- UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES)
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