[DTxAg]

Just curious to hear you’re reasoning on why the GOP will take the Senate next year. That would be awesome, don’t get me wrong, but why does it seem to be the safe bet right now?

Dems had a good year in 2006, which means a bunch are up for reelection in 2012. Something like 22 or 23 of the 33 Senate races involve Dem-held seats, so it's a good year to replace a bunch of Dem Senators with Republican Senators.

[erod]

Thank you both. Btw I don’t think Romney will be the nominee we’re looking at Cain or Gingrich imho.

[ken5050]

Look at the list..

About the only chance the Dems have is Brown in Mass..and he's still popular there, though NOT on FR (g)Warren is an awful candidate...she'll make them miss Martha Coakley. We hold that seat..and aren't really in trouble anywheres else.

Nelson in NE will retire. Nelson in FL is going down..believe me...especially so with Obama atop the ticket. McCaskill in MO, Tester in MON..both are in trouble..N. Dakota is a lock... that's why Conrad quit. We have great pick-up chances in Ohio, and Wisconis, and there are another 4-5 states, where, in a surge election, we could pick up a few more.

The odds are BETTER that the GOP gets to 60 seats than that the Dems hold the Senate.

I think we end up with 55-57..and if you really wanna get excited..look at the list of Dems up in 2014..another 23. WE end up after 2014 with a conservative president, a GOP controlled House, and a filibuster proof GOP senate of 63 seats..