Skip to comments.Back On Top: Mitt Surges Ahead In New Poll As Half Of GOP Think He Will Be The Nominee
Posted on 11/13/2011 6:21:46 PM PST by Steelfish
Back On Top: Mitt Surges Ahead In New Poll As Half Of GOP Think He Will Be The Nominee By DAILY MAIL REPORTER 13th November 2011
Mitt Romney has a growing lead in the race for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination with almost half of the party's voters expect him to be the nominee.
Twenty-eight per cent of Republicans backed the former Massachusetts governor, giving him a lead of eight percentage points over his nearest challenger Herman Cain in a Reuters/Ipsos poll, taken November 10-11. Romney was five percentage points ahead in a survey November 7-8.
'Most presidential': Almost half of Republicans believe he will be the face of the GOP, but critics still think he's too liberal Newt Gingrich, the U.S. House of Representatives speaker in the mid-1990s, solidified a recent rise among conservatives seeking an alternative to the more moderate Romney, coming in third place in the current poll with 16 per cent, Reuters reports. Gingrich, who is seen as having performed well in recent debates, was viewed as the second-most 'presidential' of the Republican hopefuls, according to the poll.
Whether or not they support him, almost half of the Republicans surveyed expect Romney to become the nominee to oppose President Barack Obama, a Democrat, in the November 2012 election.
Romney, who also ran for president in 2008, has been in first or second place in polls for months and enjoys by far the most campaign funds of the Republican field. But some in his party see him as too liberal, and he has so far failed to significantly boost his level of support in polls.
The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, however, shows he is benefiting from missteps by his rivals.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...
Mitt does half way well in one poll and the hype goes to the moon.
I never thought of 28% as surging.
And where was Willard when a fellow Republican was being attacked by the Chicago Smear Machine?
Trying to cast aspersions on Cain.
Willard, you are a looser.
Yes, Romney will be the nominee as long as Bachmann, Perry, Newt, Santorum etc are running and splitting the conservative vote.
Mitt Romney is NOT a Conservative ..
This country NEEDS a real Conservative
Mitt must not get the nomination.
THIS IS OUR LAST SHOT TO SAVE THE COUNTRY . VOTE INTELLIGENTLY
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the rinos cannot have a conservative as nominee.
and comrade obama cannot have a conservative, self-made black man as candidate.
cain would destroy the myth that holds urban blacks on the democrat plantation.
Most people think he’ll be the nominee...but most people wouldn’t vote for him.
He’s a total statist and he’d be no better than what we have now. Worse, in fact, because then the enemy would be within the gates and there wouldn’t be any opposition to the “progressive” plan.
What, 14 % and the newt, nit wits, were so excited they were playing with them whatever.
I think that gives the results enough skew to not bother considering them useful in any way.
By the second week of February there will be a significant shaking-out of candidates.
It will happen surely and naturally.
There is no need to sweat it now.
“Yes, Romney will be the nominee as long as Bachmann, Perry, Newt, Santorum etc are running and splitting the conservative vote.”
I agree, pt, that the Conservative vote will be split but I think it’ll be mostly between Cain and Gingrich. The others will be marginalized.
Romney will be the unscathed non Conservative Republican who comes out on top. I haven’t said this before now and I am depressed.
The media has already decided we will only have a RINO for a candidate. They will ignore and hide the threats to globalism.
I made this excel spreadsheet today to show Romney is still short delegates, even if he takes all the traditional blue-liberal states.
Provided the Tea Party is active at states holding caucuses, we should be okay, especially if we consolidate around a candidate early. However, Romney won’t exit, even if he doesn’t do well in Feb/Mar because of the April primaries that favor him, as well as the Jun 5 Cal/NJ primaries.
Maybe one of the reporters will has him about his secret name for his spouse.... No call , no entry to the celestial kingdom for Mrs. Mitt.
Time for a Free Republic poll, eh?
You have to go to the end of the story to learn Slick Willard is considered “too liberal” and he has not broken out of the field. And they say with a straight face he’s the “inevitable” nominee? That does not compute.
Not sure of that but hope you are right. I am a believer in primaries and let best person win etc. Where it breaks down IMO is when there is someone like Romney that can take advantage of the system and possibly get in. Plus dem dirty tricks will come into play as well during primaries.
There’s the fact the party has open primaries in a number of states and the Left can and will pick the GOP nominee... Slick Willard, of course.
Slick Willard does not need to break out. With Cain, Perry, Newt & Paul in the race and dividing the other 75% votes, Slick Willard has a clear road to victory.
Republican Party convention delegates are chosen according to a winner-take-all system. It doesn’t matter if only a minority of the Party favors Romney. As long as he finishes first in a given state, he will get ALL of that state’s delegates. The system is stacked in Mittens’ favor. He doesn’t even have to capture a majority of the GOP vote. All he has to do is come in first on the ballot.
See what a lot of money and PR will get you. You can write your own ads.
BTW, here's an UPDATED state by state color-coded map with the latest polling percentages, delegates, etc..
Click on each state for the FUN details or just scroll down at:
Btw, my wife and I are flying into Iowa Monday to work in the Cain campaign as we did for Bachmann at the Ames straw poll this past summer, and of course, Huck in '07-'08. Going for THREE IOWA wins in a row -- Nicest folks in the country, those hard working Iowans. (c;P
Cain/Huck 2012 ..or Cain/Anyone except Romney, Huntsman, or Paul
After IA, NV, NH, SC and FL have voted we will know many things that we can’t know now. I expect that the top three vote-getters at that point will be Cain, Mitt and Newt with Cain well ahead of Newt.
If that is correct then we Cainiacs can then approach our conservative brethren and start discussing with them their need for a come-to-Herman experience.
If the fact are different from this then the conversation will be different.
No, Mitt will never drop out no matter what. He will compete with organization, energy, and scads of money in every primary.
We will have to beat him long and hard.
Campaign Projected Delegates
Yup. I think Romney is unbeatable in states with open primaries. The liberals will come out and pull the lever for him because there’s no contest for the Democratic presidential nomination.
The only way Mitt can win with less than 30% is if three others all simultaneously and consistently poll in the low 20s (or four in the teens). That seems very unlikely to me. I don't think Ron Paul will poll that high and I think one of the conservatives will pull ahead and then draw an increasing share of the anti-Romney vote.
I will not vote for Romney in the primary, nor will I vote third party in the general. In other words, if he is the Republican nominee, I will vote for him....but I pray it doesn’t come to that.
I don’t think there is a sufficient number of ‘Rats who think that tactically and are willing to get of their butts.
Some, yes, but not enough I don’t think.
2012 Republican Presidential Nomination RCP Average
RCP Average 10/31 - 11/10
Romney Cain Gingrich Perry
22.5 22.0 14.2 9.8
And we know where the lion's share of Perry voters are going if/when he drops out after IA, NH, or SC....
And we know where the lion’s share of Perry voters are going if/when he drops out after IA, NH, or SC....
Romney is the GOP candidate most like Obama, most like Clinton, and most like Jimmy Carter. I might be tempted to describe Mitt as "the most presidential" based on those comparisons, but it would not be a compliment.
Yeah the same poll that told us in 2004 it was going to be "President John Kerry" the day before election day Nice try but nonsense
Gingrich, cause just like their candidate they are GOP bots who will do exactly what their party master’s tell them to do.
The interpretation by the writer is internally inconsistent. If Newt is rising as an ‘alternative’ to Mitt, then when Newt doesn’t get the nomination, most of his support will go to Cain. If Mitt has 28%, Cain has 20%, and Newt 16%, then by the extreme assumption that all Newt’s support goes to the anti-Mitt, Cain ends up with 36%. Cain wins.
Make that “...when Newt drops out...”
Perhaps he’s “surged” from 25%, which might mean it’s within the margin of error.
A few percentages to Romney
Cain is the anti Washington DC candidate as his Perry.
Newt is Wash DC.
This newspaper is notorious for being wrong. Been to England many times and the British don’t trust it, either. I don’t waste my time on it.
This same poll had Romney up 5 on 7-8 November (last weekend). I’m not buying it.
I just can’t even comment on these Romney leads anymore! BS
I will not vote for Mitt if he is the chosen one.
A lot of people are going by debate performance. Most objective reviewers will award Gingrich and/or Romney as winners of almost all of the debates.
Add that to the Fox News RINOS indirectly hawking him by bad mouthing all the other candidates. And of course all the other presstitutes want the GOP to nominate the “least conservative” candidate just in case their leg tingle daddy loses. I don’t really believe the hype that says that the dimcraps believe Romney would be the easiest to defeat.
Rest assured, when/if Romney gets the nomination, the presstitutes, dimcraps, other libs, and a number of Freepers will go/have gone after him like a fly on $h1t.
Romney is not in my top four of GOP choices (Palin, Cain, Gingrich, Bachmann, and Perry were/are all better), BUT I would support him over Obama any day of the week in spite of all the negatives about him daily postulated herein, many of which I agree with.
May I see a show of hands of those who think he is no better than Obama?
Also, for those that live in “battleground states” may I see a show of hands of those that will sit out the election if he is the nominee?
Romney can’t more then 25% of the GOP vote, so where is all of this hype coming from that he is surging in the polls?