“Also, a factor I believe that if anyone else’s life is like mine, this is an extremely busy time of the year and I pay attention to politics just a little less.”
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Thats a good observation. We should not be surprised in seeing his numbers improve slightly between now and the end of the year. It will be busy with the holidays and people’s minds will not be on politics.
His number have always gone up first of the year, too. People are always optimistic. This is likely just a blip. Other polls are not registering it. We’ll see a bump in January too, and everyone here will have a heart attack. This guy is unlikely to be reelected. Very unlikely. That’s not to say it is not going to be a fight, but we have the upper hand. No one wins reelection when the outlook is this bad. Unless there is real recovery...not .1% changes, but massive improvement, it ain’t happening. The states that went red in 2004 will be red in 2012, plus a couple more.