[Notwithstanding]

Florida is the 4th primary/caucus.

If the polls are somewhat accurate, then Newt is likely to take at 3 of the first 4.

IA: Newt
NH: Romney with Newt second
SC: Newt
FL: Newt

But the polls can change, of course.

[Genoa]

. . . And let's not be too sure about Mitt's hold on NH.

As a rule, any candidate who takes three out of the first four is duly crowned by the media. We'll see if they have a coronation for Newt.