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To: Notwithstanding

ok ...all these polls are lying...aren’t they always lying when freepers disagree with them but they are solid gold when they do

in 2008, Chet (zot) and I told folks insistently that when all the polls run in a trend they are not all “lies”.

Folks here think it’s still Dewey time. It’s not, polls are relatively accurate when taken as an aggregate.

Frankly I wish it were not so since it can preempt elections a bit with media trotting them out


58 posted on 11/30/2011 9:23:15 AM PST by wardaddy (Michelle, Sarah, Perry now Newt over Mitt.....that is how I've seen it and it's where we are)
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To: wardaddy
ok ...all these polls are lying...aren’t they always lying when freepers disagree with them but they are solid gold when they do

Folks here think it’s still Dewey time. It’s not, polls are relatively accurate when taken as an aggregate.

This is a pretty futile fight. I've had people attempt to tell me that straw polls are more accurate than scientific polls.

I've seen people expound on the value of secret (actually non-existent, in what I suspect was a fundraising ploy) internal polls that showed Christine O'Donnell tied in the Delaware Senate Race.

Primary polls are always a special problem in that people constantly are actually changing their mind over time; however, at any given moment, the average of the scientific polls is likely a good snapshot of the beliefs of the electorate.

The problem is the nitwits who basically like polls with results they like, and consider polls with results they don't like invalid, BARELY know enough about polling methodology that they can scrape together a vaguely-plausible sounding technical reason why the poll they don't like is biased or invalid.

66 posted on 11/30/2011 9:35:05 AM PST by Strategerist
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