The only polls I am interested in right now are Iowa and SC. I am under the assumption Mitt will win NH as Newt was still behind him at his peak. If there is still a race going on in June, I’ll be interested in the California numbers. Historically, however, the race is decided in SC and it comes down to the winner of Iowa vs. the winner of NH. The only way I can see it dragging out is if Newt wins Iowa, then plummets and the non-Romney votes shift back to Perry.
Check history.
Iowa is for the newsies and the noobies.
South Carolina is a real indicator for the pubbie candidate.
Every cycle, since there is nothing else to do, the pundits talk and squawk about Iowa, but this minor state with its couple of electoral college vote, is only as important as an early poll, when it's all said and done, it means very, very, very, very little.
Sorry about that to those that live in Iowa, but in reality, compared to South Carolina you are half the voting size and compared to Florida, Iowa is a fading blip six times smaller.
Within three weeks of the hawkeye cauci, the Florida vote will make everyone forget about Iowa.
The proof is, how many candidates return to Iowa in the general election?
Iowa is the airspace over which they empty their 737 commodes.
Don't want to be overly brutal, but if you live there, you know it's true.