[wolfman23601]

Just as I predicted yesterday (and got flamed for). The attacks on Newt are slowly eroding his support and we are going to get stuck with Romney, who will win with 25% with the conservative vote split too many ways. I am an anybody but Mitt guy, and at this point, I’d be willing to throw my support behind Ron Paul if polls continue to show he has a chance (though I still hope Perry can get a 2nd chance).

[apillar]

Just as I predicted yesterday (and got flamed for). The attacks on Newt are slowly eroding his support and we are going to get stuck with Romney, who will win with 25% with the conservative vote split too many ways

Yep, it's 2008 all over again. With Conservatives currently splitting around 25% Newt, 10% Perry, 10% Bachmann, then there are the Paulbots that are a solid 15% or so. That means all Mitt has to do is hold onto around 25% of the party that are RINO's, add another 3%-5% for the democrat/independent crossover primary voters and he's McCain v2.0...

That's how a party that is 75% conservative nominated a "moderate" in 2008...

[montag813]

The attacks on Newt are slowly eroding his support and we are going to get stuck with Romney, who will win with 25% with the conservative vote split too many ways.

That's not enough this year, because the GOP has adopted proportional delegates. Romney can't end this fast like the vile McCain did in 2008. This thing could remain a 4-way race through May. Perry and Paul have plenty of cash to stay. Unprecedented.

[DM1]

“Just as I predicted yesterday (and got flamed for). “

that is the one thing i cannot stand about this site. you state reality and you get demonized for it. some people are WAY too over emotional and turn a blind eye and a deaf ear since they cannot accept reality.

[Reagan69]

Margin of error?

If Newt puts in a strong performance tonight at the debate, I think he will win Iowa, followed by SC & Florida.

He could be #2 or #3 in NH.