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Rasmussen poll shows Romney leading 25%, Paul 20%, Gingrich 17%
HotAir ^ | 12/21/2011 | ED MORRISSEY

Posted on 12/21/2011 10:11:23 AM PST by TBBT

Could the race in Iowa really go to a man who has spent the least amount of time in the state among all of the candidates vying for caucus-goers? Rasmussen’s latest poll of 750 likely caucus-goers show Romney with a small but statistically significant lead, 25% to 20% for new second-place candidate Ron Paul. But the big move may be from the second tier:

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; 2012polls; gingrich; ia2012; iowa; newt; poll; rasmussen; romney; ronpaul
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If not Newt, It will be Romney.

This poll supports that conclusion.

Ron Paul will not be the nominee.

None of the other candidates will be able to stop Romney. It's just not going to happen. If Romney does well (and Newt does poorly) in Iowa, he will be setup to run to boards. As long as the Not Romney's refuse to coalesce around a candidate, Romney will take it. Ron Paul only serves to ensure that this will happen.

I still find Paul's polling numbers to be suspect. Is he over-polling? I can't believe that Iowa has gone that nuts.

1 posted on 12/21/2011 10:11:25 AM PST by TBBT
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To: TBBT

With respect, Iowa voters can be quite nutty.


2 posted on 12/21/2011 10:13:49 AM PST by RexBeach
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To: TBBT

This is why I give NO credibility to polls.
Ron Paul, the man who advocated for Iran having the “bomb”, in second place in a conservative state?

Hello? Earth to Iowa?


3 posted on 12/21/2011 10:15:36 AM PST by EagleUSA
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To: TBBT

Does anyone honestly think Iowa voters are going to go for a man who opposes ethanol subsidies? No, Paul will not finish either first or second in Iowa.


4 posted on 12/21/2011 10:16:16 AM PST by Thane_Banquo
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To: TBBT

they will rig it for Romney because he is the machines choice...it will be more of the same...


5 posted on 12/21/2011 10:16:34 AM PST by dalebert
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To: TBBT
I still find Paul's polling numbers to be suspect. Is he over-polling? I can't believe that Iowa has gone that nuts.

Ronpaul is going for the "none of the above" voters. Of which I'm one.

But my sock drawer would get my vote before the geezer would.

6 posted on 12/21/2011 10:18:14 AM PST by digger48
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To: EagleUSA

Iowa’s not a conservative state—it’s a bipolar state. A conservative state doesn’t send Tom Harkin to Congress for years and years.


7 posted on 12/21/2011 10:18:17 AM PST by Choose Ye This Day (The thing that counts is not what we could do, but what we actually do. -- Leo Spears)
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To: EagleUSA

I have a suspicion that this might be more liberal pollster agit prop, trying to paint Republican voters as insane and racist extremists who want to destroy Israel and see Iran with the nuclear bomb. I expect the pollsters to start backing out their special sauce by the middle of next week. Then the story will be Paul’s precipitous drop in Iowa.


8 posted on 12/21/2011 10:18:59 AM PST by Thane_Banquo
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To: digger48
But my sock drawer would get my vote before the geezer would.

According to Jefferson's dictum--"that government governs best which governs least"--your sock drawer would make a damn fine President. On the other hand, someone has to sign the Obamacare repeal.

9 posted on 12/21/2011 10:20:22 AM PST by Thane_Banquo
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To: TBBT

I think people took a look at Newt and did not like it. He has joined every trendy liberal cause in the last 5-10 years (even if he flipflopped back in most areas except amnesty).

There is still time. One of the non-NewtRomney candidates will be the alternative to NewtRomney. It is one of Bachmann, Santorum or Perry.

Remember, last time Huckabee was surprise winner in IA, single-digit candidate before IA.
We can have actual conservative this time.


10 posted on 12/21/2011 10:20:26 AM PST by heiss (heartless and inhumane (radical rightwinger))
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To: TBBT
Rick Santorum, conservative: 10% and rising

Newt Gingrich, former conservative turned establishment scum: 17% and tanking

Where do you stand?

11 posted on 12/21/2011 10:20:28 AM PST by Crichton
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To: TBBT
Tomorrow, Ron Paul will be leading. The next day, it will be Newt Gingrich. Caucus day? Who in the hell knows?

Iowa voters change their minds more often than your average cathouse whore changes mounting positions. Were it not so, they would cease to get the attention they crave.

12 posted on 12/21/2011 10:20:53 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: TBBT
Romney spends millions of dollars to undermine Gingrich in Iowa and Ron Paul gets the votes. At least Mitt is on the high end of his permanent 23-25% range.

I fear that if the party establishment gets their dream candidate it will split the party and Mitt will stay at 23% right through November 2012.

13 posted on 12/21/2011 10:21:29 AM PST by KarlInOhio (Herman Cain: possibly the escapee most dangerous to the Democrats since Frederick Douglass.)
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To: TBBT

Ron Paul sounds reasonable when he is focused on his stump speech. It’s when you look behind his crotchety anti-everybody rhetoric that you realize how wild his views are.

I think a lot of Iowans (and other GOP voters) are just disenchanted by most of the candidates up there, so they like what Paul has to say in his stump speech and trend towards him.

But as time goes on (usually in 2 or 3 times of listening to him), his support quickly evaporates.

I think after everyone has been through the dressing room and tried on all the candidates, they will come back and settle on one. I’m guessing Newt.

You go with the devil you know.


14 posted on 12/21/2011 10:21:41 AM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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To: Thane_Banquo; digger48
I'm in.

Digger's sock drawer for President!


15 posted on 12/21/2011 10:23:05 AM PST by DannyTN
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To: Thane_Banquo
I have a suspicion that this might be more liberal pollster agit prop, trying to paint Republican voters as insane and racist extremists who want to destroy Israel and see Iran with the nuclear bomb. I expect the pollsters to start backing out their special sauce by the middle of next week. Then the story will be Paul’s precipitous drop in Iowa.
That's my first reaction. But I'm beginning to wonder.
16 posted on 12/21/2011 10:24:55 AM PST by TBBT
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To: digger48

Hmm...I’m tempted, actually. What’s your sock drawer’s position on foreign policy?


17 posted on 12/21/2011 10:25:19 AM PST by Billthedrill
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To: Billthedrill
What’s your sock drawer’s position on foreign policy?

Prolly find all the bad guys and sock 'em...

18 posted on 12/21/2011 10:27:08 AM PST by DeoVindiceSicSemperTyrannis (Chag Hanukkah Sameach!)
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To: DannyTN

If Romney gets the GOP nod, then Digger’s sock drawer will be my write-in candidate.


19 posted on 12/21/2011 10:28:10 AM PST by Thane_Banquo
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To: DannyTN; Thane_Banquo; digger48

Where can I get a bumper sticker and a yard sign?


20 posted on 12/21/2011 10:28:15 AM PST by DeoVindiceSicSemperTyrannis (Chag Hanukkah Sameach!)
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