What is also true about that “voting block”, these young and restless people you outlined, never put their money, OR their time where their mouth is. They talk a good and noble fight, but never deliver.
Any poll that includes this group as a major factor, never proves accurate on election day. Perhaps for the reasons I mentioned above.
I still think that Ron Paul will lose Iowa to Newt when it comes down to it. There are way too many “undecided” voters out there who do have a brain, and when they even think of the possibility that the most dangerous candidate in our history threatens to win, they will come out in droves for Newt, in the name of logical restraint.
If they want a leader they'll vote for Rick Perry. This is a jobs election and Perry has it in spades. And they can relax because he's pro-America, pro-strong military, pro-strong family, pro-shrink government, anti-green socialism AND NOT a big-ideas central planner, like Gingrich.
Americans might like hearing Newt blast Obama during the campaign but they won't like Newt insulting them --- and he will -- if you disagree with him (and it will be difficult to know which position he is taking as he moves from one to another so quickly) it will be you who are too stupid to see the logic in his brilliant leadership and insight about solutions.
We must remember that Iowa is a caucus state where people show up as a group and vote on site rather than going to the polls throughout the day whenever it is most convenient. As a result, the most organized political effort usually wins by getting the most people to the precinct sites. That is how Obama beat Hillary in some key states.
Also, Iowa is far overblown by the media as are NH, SC and Fla. There is still plenty of meat on the bone after those primaries.