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To: CharlesWayneCT
The odds are in favor of Newt even if he places in the top 5 in some states. Because he WILL be the clear winner in many states.

Newt is likely to win many states and has a strong chance to be the Conservative nominee. Go NEWT ! This is December of 2011 and the last 5 states will vote in 2012. The trend is the Red States will choose NEWT. Blue States might choose RINO. Purple states like Iowa not sure. But we know that Red States will choose Newt.

January
? - Iowa 28 delegates

? - New Hampshire 12
Newt - South Carolina 25
Newt - Florida 50


February
Newt - Nevada 28

Newt - Maine 24

? - Colorado 36
? - Minnesota 40

Newt - Arizona 29
Newt - Michigan 30

March
Newt - Washington 43
Newt - Alaska 27
Newt - Georgia 76

Newt - Idaho 32
RINO - Mass 41

Newt - North Dakota 28

Newt - Ohio 66

Newt - Oklahoma 43

Newt - Tennessee 58

? - Vermont 17
Newt - Virginia 50

Newt - Wyoming 29

Newt - Kansas 40

Newt - Alabama 50

? - Hawaii 20
Newt - Mississippi 40

Newt - Missouri 52

? - Illinois 69

Newt - Louisiana 46

April

Newt - Maryland 37
Newt or Perry - Texas 155

? - Wash D.C. 19

Newt - Wisconsin 42

? - Connecticut 28

? - Delaware 17
? - New York 95

Newt - Pennsylvania 72

? - Rhode Island 19

May
Newt - Indiana 46

Newt - North Carolina 55

 Newt - West Virginia 31

Newt - Nebraska 35

Newt - Oregon 29

Newt - Arkansas 36

Newt - Kentucky 45


June
? - California 172
Newt - Montana 26

Newt - New Jersey 50

Newt - New Mexico 23

Newt - South Dakota 28

RINO - Utah 40

46 posted on 12/29/2011 7:19:51 PM PST by show
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To: show

That only holds in a static view...

The real world is dynamic. And what was yesterday, or today, can quickly change tomorrow. If Newt takes a bloodbath early on, his support many (likely) not be there by the time we roll around to the down states.

Hope I’m wrong.


50 posted on 12/29/2011 7:29:00 PM PST by TBBT
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