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To: EDINVA

I think Santorom showed us Romney is vulnerable.


48 posted on 01/04/2012 9:35:30 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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I think Santorom showed us Romney is vulnerable.

There is also this big ahole called Ron Paul, to take down.

Doe's anyone believe that Pauls numbers in Iowa reflect the constituency?

58 posted on 01/04/2012 9:48:22 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: mylife

Of course, Romney’s vulnerable. BUT, so long as 3 non-Romneys are in the race, he still wins. Leave aside Ron Paul, who really isn’t a non-Romney, but who pulls @ 15-20% of the vote.

Let’s say Romney’s base is @ 25% and Paul’s is 20%. That leaves 55% to be split among 3 candidates who are acceptable in varying degrees to the vast majority of those Republican voters who don’t want Romney. Who wins? Romney.

The one purpose the IA caucuses serve is to ‘winnow out’ candidates as the process moves on to more meaningful primaries. In the case of the GOP, that’s SC and FL.
Usually there are 3, sometimes 4, ‘tickets out of IA.’ Perry didn’t get one. If his position and Newt’s had been reversed, Newt would have been the one expected to drop out.
I can’t imagine hat ‘way forward’ Perry sees for himself, but he’s now in the position of strengthening Romney.

Worst of all, the longer R’s beat each other up in the primaries, the better it is for vulnerable Obama.


107 posted on 01/05/2012 6:45:47 AM PST by EDINVA
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