This is hard to do when the current idiots in charge don’t put much stock on HUMINT. Conversely, we invite those who hate us into the administration as guests of the White Crib, Pentagon, Cabinet, and other Federal institutions.
That really says it all.
What if the faction of the Guard that wants to overthrow the current regime is even more radically Islamist or turns out to be?
I might trust the population or even the segment that wants more liberalization, eg the students and young, but a split in the most radical segment of the current regime doesn’t necessarily mean an improvement.
It might only be a struggle between the Girondins and the Jacobins with the result a Reign of Terror with a new Robespierre.
Those Iranian guard units that seek to overthrow the regime would be wise to not seek U.S. assistance, at least when Nobama is in charge. It’s more likely that he would rat them out rather than help them.