I can. A lot of them are fed up with illegal immigration. Creating incentives for self-deportation is one of the most effective ways to combat it. Newt was stupid to attack Mitt Romney for making this suggestion, particularly when there is so much legitimate ammo.
I'm not sure how you are going to strip out the votes for early versus same day voting. They all get mixed together in the end. About the only way I can imagine it would happen is to get a representative sample of early voters from exit polling or phone interviews. I just don't see an accurate way to do that without spending a ton of money. It would be like sampling absentee voters. Its just not going to happen with existing technologies.
All Freepers need to go to other sites once in awhile to see what people other than hard conservatives are thinking. In most cases, it will convince you that we are more right than ever, but it will at least give you some added perspective. I'm not suggesting just nominally conservative sites like Drudge or Michael Savage, but even far left sites.
Of course, I'd avoid something like Democrat Underground as it borders on pornographic. LiberalsAreCool.Com, on the other hand, gives you a pretty good perspective of their upside down thinking without the sewer pipe.
You will eventually see some of the arguments made here make it into the enemedia just as you will see arguments made on Free Republic make it into the conservative media.
I think Newt has been hurt by his immigration stances more than we realize. About the time the Romney Super-Pac was running the negative ads in Iowa, there was also the debate where Newt was leading the polls, and where he again laid out his amnesty plan for illegal aliens who’d been in the country for 25 years, put down roots, go to church, etc.
Because Newt was in the lead then, viewers really paid attention to that, but the voter reaction to that got lost in all the negative ads and the shifting polls during Iowa. But I think it hurt him then and in every state since.