I believe that is true. If we make one mathematical set, “People who are voting for Gingrich or Santorum,” and try and create other sets with in it, I’d be curious what they would look like. How big is the set, “Want Santorum and do not like Gingrich”? And would these people vote for Romney or stay home if Santorum wasn’t in it? Or would they vote Gingrich entirely? I feel like the set “Want Gingrich,” if denied him, would all vote Santorum over Romney at this point.
Interesting.
Interesting. It would be my belief that we would see a mix of those; some people vote for the Newt, others vote for Mitts, and others stay home.
It all depends on how much of the religous conservative vote San is getting. I would actually expect Mitt to get more votes from Santorum than Gingrich. Romney seems to be the nicer canidate and had been staying above the fray, for all his faults he seems to be the most electable.
I doubt the evengelical vote will go to Ron Paul, so the question becomes does it go to the nice carsalesman in a nice suit with a nice haircut, or philanderer who openly has disparaged the other canidates and has said he would not vote for one of them if they indeed become the canidate (even as much as I distaste Ron Paul).
For all the talk Gingrich is giving about going for a brokered convention he really seems to be intent on alienating the other canidates with his antics.