[muawiyah]

First year calculus students weren't, in fact, predicting rogue waves, particularly not when everyone in authority agreed they didn't exist, and Fur Shur, I didn't do that at the time, nor even into subsequent years.

Yet, they existed.

The probability of such a wave occurring is a higher order problem than is readily dealt with through mere reference to calculus. First, you have to believe they exist

[chimera]

Well, you’re getting into areas of philosophy (beliefs), and that is moving outside of the realm of the questions that physics addresses. If you want to go in that direction, it is something I am reluctant to comment on in a thread that really began as a technical discussion.