Posted on 02/21/2012 7:26:45 PM PST by Steelfish
Poll: Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum Nearly Even In Georgia February 21, 2012
By Larry Peterson A new poll pegs Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum as nearly even in Georgia as its March 6 Republican primary approaches.
Gingrich’s double-digit lead has dried up in less than three weeks, and experts say his White House hopes likely are over if he can’t carry his home state.
In a Monday InsiderAdvantage Georgia poll of 711 likely primary voters, Gingrich, a former long-time Georgia congressman and House speaker, had 26 percent.
Former Massachusetts governor Romney had 24 percent and former Pennsylvania senator Santorum 23 percent. Texas Rep. Ron Paul trailed with 12 percent.
The margin of error for the poll was 3.6 percent, so Gingrich, Romney and Santorum were about even.
The results signalled a dip of 9 percentage points for Gingrich and a gain of 8 for Romney compared to a Feb. 9 Landmark-Rosetta Stone survey. Santorum slipped 3 points; Paul rose by 7.
Before the new survey, Georgia was the only state in which Gingrich led among 11 where voters will cast ballots on March 6.
“If these numbers are correct,” said Kennesaw State University political scientist Kerwin Swint, “they signal the collapse of Newt as a viable candidate. Georgians may be starting to dismiss him as a serious contender.”
University of Georgia political science professor Charles Bullock said the poll suggests “a substantial collapse” in Gingrich’s support.
“A whole lot of air is going out of his balloon,” Bullock said. “ ... It’s going to be hard to spin this in any possible way.”
(Excerpt) Read more at savannahnow.com ...
Newt is done like dinner. He needs to drop out, endorse Santorum and get himself a good position in the coming Santorum presidency.
If Santorum pulls of a MI upset, he’ll generate tsunami-size momentum that it will wash Gingrich ashore in GA. He needs to quit now, assist a Santorum win in AZ, and win the accolades of the conservative movement. Gingrich will make a good Education Secretary that will help disable and dismantle our corrupt public school system.
I don’t believe this. It is just another trick of Satan.
Sorry, some of us have little desire at this time to usher in a third GWB term when we can still have at least four years that loos like the best of Reagan.
If I’m Newt I wait and let Saint Rick keep running his mouth until people realize he has no chance to beat OBama in November. The Dems are probably salivating over the opportunity to run against Santorum. They do not even have to write the ads they write themselves.
People are not looking to elect a moral arbiter in chief. We all know that Rick is just better and holier than the rest of us, but since most of us are sinner we don’t really want to be reminded of it by a sanctimonious, big spending, union loving twit.
He’s right he is not a manager or a visionary he is just the typical Washington insider and petty political pol. God save the Republic if he wins the nomination because we can not afford 4 more years of O’Bama.
Heaven help us if that sissy frat boy gets the nomination.
After next Tuesday, the train wold have left the station.
Or maybe not.
Rest assured, he won’t self-implode on a moon base.
Satan’s the sissy frat boy from Harvard.
Let’s put a hold on your wishful thinking until the race is over. SO many people SO eager for Newt to fall by the wayside. That leaves the door wide open for Romney and Obama.
Just as long as you are honest about wbat you are getting. I don’t happen to thank most of the Santlorum supporers are.
What was it that Newt said recently ? that if anyone loses their home base that they should drop out ? or something like that.
“A whole lot of air is going out of his balloon,” Bullock said. “ .. It’s going to be hard to spin this in any possible way.” ....... of yes they will, a Brokered Convention... If Newt can’t have the GOP nomination, nobody can...
There will be no Santorum presidency.
Obama would eat him for breakfast, and do it with the loony content of Saint Ricky’s own recorded sermons.
President Newt Gingrich—”Our beloved republic deserves nothing less.”
From what I gather, many Santorum supporters think they are getting the end of abortion.
In what bloody world is Gingrich a political outsider? He was speaker of the house ffs. I don’t care if he’s an insider or outsider, if he can’t win, he can’t win. Santorum is far more viable a candidate and he hasn’t cheated on his wife a dozen times. Stop fantasizing about Gingrich schooling Obama in a debate because that doesn’t make a presidency.
I like your post. You said it well.
He didn’t cheat on any of his wives either.
Newt would be classified as a serial monogamist, not an unfaithful husband.
is this why he dropped out in mi? trying to save his own home state.....if he loses i fully expect him to drop out...walk your talk newtie...ya i know you wont but hey one can dream
Blah, blah, blah... we have hear it all.
I support Newt and will continue to support him until he no longer needs or desires my support.
This country needs a real leader, not a Preacher.
President Newt Gingrich—”Our beloved republic deserves nothing less.”
as opposed to newt supporters?
If I’m Newt I wait and let Saint Rick keep running his mouth until people realize he has no chance to beat OBama in November. The Dems are probably salivating over the opportunity to run against Santorum. They do not even have to write the ads they write themselves.
you have seen the guy you are pushing havent you?...no chance? no ads?...meet newt
I think most people are honestly voting for negative reasons right now and not because they adore any of the candidates.
Nobody adores Romney.
So we’re voting against him.
I think Santorum supporters are voting against Romney and Newt and Newt supporters are voting against Romney and Santorum.
I still support Newt and will at least through super Tuesday.
I hate the current primary system. It’s a wonder we EVER get a decent candidate.
What do you want in a primary season. The states complained that they had no say as to who the nominee would be. It was always decided by 2 or 3 primaries. This year the Republican voters didn’t put up with the lame stream media. Usually by the time Ohio voted, it was over.
The pundits don’t even care when they are wrong! They are worse than the local weathermen’s forcasts.
Santorum is already fading in MI due to Mitt’s negative ads. Lets see how his numbers look after three more weeks of Drudge and Mitt double teaming him night and day. March 6th is still a ways off.
This poll is flawed in a significant way. Go to the cross-tabs, page 5:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/InsiderAdvantage_GA_0220.pdf
27% of those polled were Independent, and of those, 55% were between 18-29. That means a full 15% of those polled were Independents between 18-29, a significant overestimation of that population’s percentage of the actual electorate on primary day in Georgia.
In the poll, not a single one of this sub-sample voted for Gingrich. This skewed the results; without that distortion, Gingrich would have a lead outside the margin of error.
I absolutely agree with you. I think it is great that there are four candidates in the race, and thus more of the states are going to have a say in the nomination — just as the democrats did four years ago. They had three strong candidates slugging it out almost up to the convention, and that hard fought primary contest did not hurt their eventual candidate. I am glad that we have three candidates who are following suit this time, and not just conceding to Romney. In fact, I wish that our other candidates had not dropped out so early.
I liked McCain better than I like Santorum....and I didn’t like McCain at all!.
No one really care’s who’s an insider or outsider. Gingrich has accomplished big things. Santorum’s a whiner, and while he’s made minor contributions here and there as part of efforts led by others such as Newt, he hasn’t actually led much or done much.
And that’s not Satan’s fault.
That’s Santorum’s fault.
Skaterboy is basically illiterate.
He doesn’t know how to write a sentence. But he thinks he can make his illiteracy look impressive somehow, as if his lack of intelligence and punctuation reveals something profound. This is how the tools write on Democratic Underground and Daily Kos.
How did Santorum do in his last statewide election? Humiliated by 18 points. 2006 was a bad year for Republicans, but no other incumbent got slaughtered like that; Santorum’s loss was an order of magnitude more.
An 18 point loss in a “purple” state where all those Reagan Democrats live, Democrats we need to win a Presidential election.
So if Pennsylvanians got tired of his whinny, preachy demeanor, I don’t think he would wear well on the country generally.
OUCH!....that had to hurt.
Oh perfect. Let's turn the election over to the guy who just admitted he's no visionary or manager.
Yeah, that's just what Newt should do alright!
Especially this election year. The major swings and erratic poll numbers are completely confusing. But don't you know, now that the “Perfect CONservative” is in the lead, it's over. Stop here!
Less than 10% of the Delegates are allotted, and Santorum has only just begun to get exposed for what he is, and in most polls, Santorum is slipping. There is also another 6 months to go before the Convention, so there is plenty of time and no single candidate has a lock on anything.
Newt was not “Kicked out” of his speaker position.
He resigned voluntarily, after Boehner, Paxon and Armey backed down from trying to vote him out. (Newt’s own words for why he resigned; (Shortly after he was re elected for his 11th term)
Gingrich made the announcement the day after being elected to an 11th term from his district. Commenting on his departure, Gingrich said, “I’m willing to lead, but I’m not willing to preside over people who are cannibals. My only fear would be that if I tried to stay, it would just overshadow whoever my successor is.”[79]
Yawn????????
Santorum will never win the independents.
What I would like is for all the states to vote within a one or two week period, preferably in early March.
The early states have way too much power in selecting a candidate. One unexpected win (accomplished by kinda living in Iowa for a year) is what pushed Santorum into the spotlight.
If a candidate gets momentum in a few early states, he or she has an unfair advantage. Some of the earliest states are not typical. Florida for example.
By the time Texas votes, it won’t matter. And Texas is a huge, influential state.
I didn’t really understand your post but hope this answers your question.
The only hard ass running is Newt. I am convinced we either get Newt to pull us back from becoming Albania or the Republic is over..
You like it when they don’t report the news but predict it and you run with it as truth. You are just the type propaganda was created for!
Obama will eat Romney for lunch BECAUSE Romney is as far left as Obama and has nothing to run against.
Obama will not eat either Gingrich or Santorum for lunch.
If Santorum has proved nothing else he has proved that he is willing to log thousands of hours in a dilapidated pickup truck if that’s the work that needs to be done.
He will not quit.
Neither will Newt.
Attack Romney and Obama. They are the enemies: not Newt or Rick.
Pigs will fly before Romney or Santorum wins Georgia over Newt. Do not believe this poll. Just another poll to try and demoralize Gingrich supporters. He’ll win Georgia.
They just have to show his record how he campaigned for mitt in '08. So ALL his talk about romneycare/obamacare NOW is null and void - since it's only 'talk' of a politician whoring for votes. He's dead meat - and ALL by his own record!
Mitt=Obama and he campaigned for mitt - SO WHAT'S HIS BEEF NOW? He can't say abortion because Mitt was pro abortion and ordered the catholic hospitals to comply and Rick STILL campaigned for him.
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