One might add the danger of an October surprise. There might be one percolating now in the Straits of Hormuz affording Obama the option to pull the trigger at any time to jigger the poll numbers to his advantage. Americans instinctively rally to the flag and to their president at times of crisis and Iran offers Obama a ready-made crisis to exploit virtually whenever he wants to, likely just before the election.
Of course, if there is action around the Straits of Hormuz, whether to knockout Iran's nuclear program or simply some sort of scuffle, the price of gasoline will go straight through the overhead so Obama has to be a little bit careful of the blowback.
What we are really talking about is the institutionalization of leftism in America. Every serious institution in America is succumbing to infiltration by the left. We complain about the impact of the media on our elections but that is just one institution that has been co-opted. It applies to our churches, our eleemosynary institutions, our educational institutions, the Girl Scouts for God sake, and (gasp) even the military. So when a Republican confronts Jimmy Carter or Barack Obama, he has a good chance of winning but only because the rats have overreached. Against a typical opponent, the forces arrayed against the conservative are nearly insuperable and they are getting more formidable every day.
The truth is that the media is only reflecting the cultural, intellectual, and moral disintegration of the country.
To make the analysis even more complicated, the election might well turn on some bizarre incident that no one now can predict, a "Macaca" moment if you will. The media will try to contrive such a moment against the Republican but fate might also play a trick against Obama. For example, he might just become the " pond scum president." In any event, these events tend to drive the electorate against its conservative instincts toward the left.
When we conservatives decry the influence of Rinos on the Republican Party we might consider the ecology in which they breed and thrive.
