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Charlie Cook: Fading Chances (GOP will lose)
Nationaljournal ^ | cook

Posted on 02/25/2012 8:08:08 AM PST by lilyfreeper

It is becoming quite clear that the conservative base of the Republican Party is driving the car. These voters prefer someone from the pull-no-punches brand of conservatism that created the tea party movement in 2009 and handed Republicans their House majority in 2010. It’s certainly the GOP’s right and choice to do that. The calendar, though, says 2012. The mood of the broader electorate—and, specifically, independents—appears to be very different. If you see any of Obama’s advisers looking bruised from head to toe, it might be from pinching themselves in disbelief.

Simply put, the passion and energy of the Republican Party today may well fail to produce a nominee with a decent chance of winning in November. My assumption was that Romney would be the nominee and would make a good run. Now, I have begun to doubt both propositions. His odds of winning the nomination are growing longer. And even if he does, he has twisted and turned himself into a human pretzel. I’m not sure how electable he is. The alternatives, however, seem even less so.

(Excerpt) Read more at nationaljournal.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; romneysantorumgop
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To: lilyfreeper

Let’s see......$5.00 a gal. for gas (and a refusal to drill)unemployment at at least 10%, attacks on the 2nd ammendment, attacks on religious groups to pay for abortions and contraception, attacks on the constitution (ie Ginsburg and Obama comments that the constitution is out of date, OBAMACARE (the majority of Americans want it repealed). The bottom line the pubbies have the issues and if we lose with either Romney Gingrich or Santorum then shame on us.


41 posted on 02/25/2012 10:25:01 AM PST by kenmcg (How)
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To: Tench_Coxe

“And the “blame the conservatives” meme begins.”

Yes, there is never a “blame the moderates” meme.

If a moderate loses it’s because he’s a weak candidate, the odds were against him, the other guy did a better job campaigning, etc.

If a conservative loses it’s because they (and we) are EEEEEEVIL, RAAAAACIST, STUUUUUUPID!

I didn’t read the whole Cook piece, but he seems to have made HIMSELF into a big pretzel trying to figure out how to make ANY kind of a case that Mitt Romney would be a strong candidate.

Romney has won 1 election and was so unpopular after his 1 term he didn’t even run for re-election. He struggles to get over 30% of primary voters. The more people know him the more they say “meh”. He can’t even make a good case for HIMSELF, never mind convince anyone to agree with him.

I’m not saying Romney wouldn’t beat Obama, but as for him being a much stronger candidate than any one else, no. Romney is a LOUSY politician, I can’t imagine why he ever wanted to be one.


42 posted on 02/25/2012 10:28:19 AM PST by jocon307
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To: kenmcg

I’m voting for ABO (ANYBODY BUT OBAMA). Period.

Obama’s kept us in confusion and chaos for going on 4 years now. With me; it ends in 2012. - It is the most evil, most corrupt administration ever in this country.

Democrats laugh as Republicans scurry around in confusion.


43 posted on 02/25/2012 10:34:00 AM PST by Twinkie (John 3:16)
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To: lilyfreeper

I wasn’t comparing Santorum to Reagan. I agree there is no comparison. My point was that the same people have a problem with conservative candidates. They fear true conservatives—and they love beatable moderates like Dole and McCain.


44 posted on 02/25/2012 11:26:28 AM PST by SC_Pete
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To: lilyfreeper

i thought the article would be about congress.
gop picks up 12+ seats
the senate is in the bag
and well the prez??
too soon to tell.
90% unemployment
$5 gas
1.5 trillion deficits
mid east in chaos
europe in flames (just wait)
and i would not be betting on b.o.


45 posted on 02/25/2012 11:27:51 AM PST by genghis
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To: Sooth2222

Great data, appreciate it.

The MSM may be trying to sell Baraq as invincible, but a state by state analysis says we can flush him.


46 posted on 02/25/2012 12:39:10 PM PST by nascarnation (DEFEAT BARAQ 2012 DEPORT BARAQ 2013)
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To: kjo

Dear Mr. Put-Your-Finger-in-the-Wind Pollster:

True conservatives are fighting for a lot more than your silly polls. We fight because the future of our country is at stake. Win or lose, we follow God’s will, not the whims of your polls.

We oppose socialism not because we are Republicans and Obama is a socialist. We oppose socialism because it is evil for our souls and bad for the country. Ronald Reagan didn’t care about polls during his “wilderness years” and nor should conservatives today. We fight for truth and justice not because we want to please the liberal media. We fight for truth and justice for their own sake.


47 posted on 02/25/2012 1:37:11 PM PST by heye2monn
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To: lilyfreeper

If the conservatives would just sit down and shut up and let the liberal elitists in the GOP drive the car... What would happen? We saw what happens.

The GOP becomes and permanent minority and loses races for President. They have no agenda for reform; they just react and beg to tweak socialist and globalist thrusts made by the Leftists. For example, Romneycare.

If we are going to lose anyway, I would rather we lose and kick and shove (figuatively speaking) liberals along the way which is better than losing to the most liberal of the liberals running for office without any challenge to unconstitutional centralized power, globalism, political correctness and corruption at all.

I want liberals exposed, hurting and mad after every election. Only 8% of the nation’s voters are liberals! How dare them take over both parties and expect the rest of America to shut up about it.


48 posted on 02/25/2012 4:28:28 PM PST by SaraJohnson
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To: lilyfreeper
It is becoming quite clear that the conservative base of the Republican Party is driving the car.

Well, you pretty much have to be a grown-up to see over the dash, so....

49 posted on 02/25/2012 9:14:04 PM PST by Still Thinking (Freedom is NOT a loophole!)
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To: madprof98
I just do not get it: Why do all these self-styled experts think that Romney was so much more likely to succeed than Bob Dole or John McCain?

Gerry Ford couldn't even pull it off and he was the INCUMBENT!

50 posted on 02/25/2012 9:15:50 PM PST by Still Thinking (Freedom is NOT a loophole!)
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To: dirtboy
Cook's article might as well be entitled "The View From Washington".

And, somehow, the view from Washington is never the same as the view from Cincinnati. Or the view from Charleston. Or the view from Pueblo. In fact, it's totally unlike the view from anywhere else in the USA.

Just one more example of why the nation's politics are increasily less about liberal vs conservative, less about Democrat vs Republican...and more about Washington vs The Rest Of Us.

The last time a government was so unresponsive to -- and unrepresentative of -- its people, the head of state was Czar Nicholas.

51 posted on 02/25/2012 9:41:21 PM PST by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA: Ignorance On Parade)
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