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Some interesting statistics. They say that if the market is up in the two months prior to the election, the incumbent party wins. This has been 90% accurate since 1900. Pretty good predictor, it seems.

But still nothing is 100%. So we'll see.

1 posted on 02/26/2012 10:13:24 PM PST by Innovative
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To: Innovative

In the past we had good employment numbers with the rise in the DJIA. This time old rules do not apply.


2 posted on 02/26/2012 10:19:32 PM PST by Fee
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To: Innovative

This would be a true thing if volume in the market was up. That would mean that people on the streets are making enough coin to invest and save. The fact is that even though we have DOW 13K, volume is very low. People are still scraping by. Unemployment is still high, foreclosures are high, gas prices are high, food prices are high and people are still underwater on their home loans. These things fly in the face of the logic that these DJ number will matter a hill of beans.


3 posted on 02/26/2012 10:27:55 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: Innovative

Are you better off now than you were 4 years ago?


4 posted on 02/26/2012 10:40:52 PM PST by vbmoneyspender
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To: Innovative

My record is over 90% making a call in September of an election year. Geez.


5 posted on 02/26/2012 10:41:27 PM PST by Patrick1 (" Let's all pray Kim Kardashian's divorce won't have an impact on her craft.")
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To: Innovative

So, lets see...if Helicopter Ben Bernanke prints enough money to keep the DOW moving up, Obama is a shoe-in.


9 posted on 02/27/2012 2:34:13 AM PST by broken_arrow1 (I regret that I have but one life to give for my country - Nathan Hale "Patriot")
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To: Innovative
If in September we begin to feel comfortable Obama will lose I would expect investors would feel more comfortable to take on risk. If that becomes the case the market will rise.
11 posted on 02/27/2012 5:07:34 AM PST by JIM O
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To: Innovative

I remember after Reagan was elected in 1980 that my brother mentioned the statistic that every single president elected in a year ending in zero died in office. So Reagan would too.

‘Cept Reagan didn’t.

I’ve seen a roulette wheel hit “red” 25 times in a row.


12 posted on 02/27/2012 5:37:24 AM PST by cuban leaf (Were doomed! Details at eleven.)
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