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CNBC: Markets Start to Anticipate Obama Victory in November
CNBC | 02/28/2012 | By: John Melloy

Posted on 02/28/2012 8:08:33 PM PST by SeekAndFind

While President Obama may not be Wall Street's ideal candidate, stock prices are rising on growing expectations he will be re-elected this November.

Part of that, market pros say, is simply that investors feel more certain about who will be in the White House for the next four years and which policies they will have to deal with.

Obama's chances of winning in November increased to above 60 percent on Tuesday, up from about 50 percent at the beginning of the year, according to the odds on prediction market Intrade.com.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has hit a new bull market high and is up 9 percent on the year.

The stock market’s rise comes as the supposed Republican frontrunner, Mitt Romney, continues to struggle to win the GOP nomination.

Romney has just a 55 percent chance of winning Tuesday’s Michigan Primary, down from 80 percent just a day ago, according to Intrade. Meanwhile, the odds of GOP challenger Rick Santorum winning the primary have shot up to 45 percent.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: november2012; obama
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To: editor-surveyor

Somethings fishy.


41 posted on 02/28/2012 8:43:44 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: funfan

I believe you are close to the truth.


42 posted on 02/28/2012 8:48:30 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: mylife

If gas is five bucks Obama is gone and so is the economy..


43 posted on 02/28/2012 8:49:00 PM PST by Hojczyk
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To: mylife

More like ‘sheepy.’

People are being setup for a huge fleecing, and there is no hedge that will save them if they’re in the stock market when the chute breaks open.

But in the short run, metals and oil are going to go stratospheric.


44 posted on 02/28/2012 8:49:41 PM PST by editor-surveyor (No Federal Sales Tax - No Way!)
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To: Hojczyk

Gas will be passed $5 by noon tomorrow.


45 posted on 02/28/2012 8:50:56 PM PST by editor-surveyor (No Federal Sales Tax - No Way!)
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To: editor-surveyor

46 posted on 02/28/2012 8:52:29 PM PST by kanawa
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To: funfan

I am a simple guy, but this all looks like market manipulation to me.

He have half the candidates and the President telling us Gas prices are up because there is a glut of oil. WTF?

Obmaa was against the Keystone pipeline 3 weeks ago and now he’s for it.
Satorumn says yesterday that current gas prices caused the housing market to collapse 3 years ago. WTF?


47 posted on 02/28/2012 8:53:15 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: jdsteel

I agree.
I am free to say this:

Watch ANY financial show, at the closing bell, and watch how quickly someone wants to tell you why MILLIONS of transactions happened that day, as if they knew every person on each side of the trade, and every reason why each trade was made.


48 posted on 02/28/2012 9:21:09 PM PST by Kansas58
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To: SeekAndFind

Look at any historical chart.
Bad stuff happens
Good stuff happens
Throughout history.

Hard to pin the market on any one good thing or bad thing.

The market is the market.


49 posted on 02/28/2012 9:22:37 PM PST by Kansas58
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To: SeekAndFind

Look at any historical chart.
Bad stuff happens
Good stuff happens
Throughout history.

Hard to pin the market on any one good thing or bad thing.

The market is the market.


50 posted on 02/28/2012 9:22:43 PM PST by Kansas58
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To: editor-surveyor

Commodities certainly seem like the place to be.


51 posted on 02/28/2012 9:23:54 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: SeekAndFind

Seriously? The election is more than 8 months away. Alot can, and will happen between now and then, and damn little of it good for Obama.

Oil and gas on the rise. A major war in the Middle East. The Euro and the European Union in turmoil. The Occupy Wall Street crazies coming out in full force this Spring, with violent episodes erupting all over the country. And this is just the tip of the iceberg.

Throwing in the towel is not an option.


52 posted on 02/28/2012 9:24:13 PM PST by july4thfreedomfoundation (I'm NOT smitten' with Mittens)
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To: july4thfreedomfoundation

Everyone should stop for a moment and think about something:

Are we really so brainwashed, we actually believe that the stock market going up, means the communist is going to win?


53 posted on 02/28/2012 9:26:18 PM PST by Cringing Negativism Network ("The door is open" PALIN 2012)
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To: jdsteel
I have made it clear to my compliance department that I do get involved in 1st Amendment protect political speech from time to time.
I NEVER will recommend specific strategies or securities, in a public post.

I also do not directly list my name. :)
Anyway, so far so good.

I was once Kansas Republican Party Treasurer and a Broker at the same time.

It can be done but you are correct, we must be careful.

54 posted on 02/28/2012 9:27:18 PM PST by Kansas58
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To: SeekAndFind

who are these people voting for him?


55 posted on 02/28/2012 9:29:20 PM PST by ColdOne (I miss my poochie... Tasha 2000~3/14/11)
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To: Cringing Negativism Network

“Are we really so brainwashed, we actually believe that the stock market going up, means the communist is going to win?”

####

The two statements DO seem mutually exclusive don’t they?

But then, we are no longer in the mostly sane, market-based financial environment of old.


56 posted on 02/28/2012 9:30:53 PM PST by EyeGuy (2012: When the Levee Breaks)
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To: SeekAndFind
CNBC says........
What's not to believe?

ROTFLMAO!!!

57 posted on 02/28/2012 9:32:33 PM PST by The Cajun (Palin, Free Republic, Mark Levin, Newt......Nuff said.)
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To: SeekAndFind

CNBS is a joke.

I wouldn’t put a single penny down on anything they say.


58 posted on 02/28/2012 9:35:40 PM PST by WeatherGuy
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To: dfwgator

The vote will be anti Obama and not pro anybody


59 posted on 02/28/2012 9:43:41 PM PST by woofie (It takes three villages and a forest of woodland creatures to raise a child in Obamaville)
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To: Kansas58; SeekAndFind

“Hard to pin the market on any one good thing or bad thing.”
The market is the market.
_____________________________________________
Right....
It is no longer your father’s stock market.
It is fat cats like Soros and Buffet, and others with big computers, doing the pump and dump.
On a day to day basis, the market has nothing to do with reality.
To say that the public is expecting a glorious eight years
of Marxist ideology, run by the Obumber puppet, is whistling in one’s britches.


60 posted on 02/28/2012 10:04:31 PM PST by AlexW
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