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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Doubt that Newt wins more than his home state of Georgia tomorrow. He’ll very likely go one for ten. Or two for 23 overall when you count SC.

As for Tennessee...

Poll Date Sample Santorum Romney Gingrich Paul Spread

RCP Average 3/3 - 3/4 — 32.3 29.7 24.7 9.3 Santorum +2.6

Newt is ONLY helping Willard have a better Super Tuesday than any Massachusetts liberal deserves.

Bottom line:

We must unite the two conservatives, Rick & Newt to defeat the two liberals, Willard & Barack.


5 posted on 03/05/2012 8:15:51 AM PST by CainConservative (Santorum/Huck 2012 w/ Newt, Cain, Palin, Bach, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Petraeus in the Cabinet)
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To: CainConservative
The “Chicken” (Santorum) has not come out of his egg yet.

But if he does, the press and the MSM will make an omelet out of him.

Newt, on the other hand, will hand them their little pea brains, in a salad. Therefore, there is NO Santorum option for us. It is either Newt, or none. I would rather have Palin or West for VP.

15 posted on 03/05/2012 8:21:40 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: CainConservative
Newt may not win the state outright but the polling data indicates he's rising at the moment. None the less, Newt will win some delegates in TN and some of the other states most likley. Example here is the delegate allocation process for TN.

Tennessee


Tuesday 6 March 2012: 55 of Tennessee's 58 delegates to the Republican National Convention are pledged to presidential contenders in today's Tennessee Presidential Primary.

27 district delegates, 3 from each of the 9 congressional districts, are to be allocated to the presidential contenders based on the primary results in each congressional district. [ByLaws of the Tennessee Republican Party. Article IX. Rule C. Section 1. and Section 4A.]

  • If a candidate receives more than 2/3 of the vote in a congressional district, that candidate receives all 3 delegates.
  • Otherwise, if only 1 candidate receives 20% or more of the vote, that candidate receives all 3 delegates.
  • Otherwise, if 2 or more candidates receive more than 20% of the vote, the highest vote getter receives 2 delegates and the next highest vote getter receives 1 delegate.
  • Otherwise, the top 3 vote getters each receive 1 delegate.
  • The district delegates are directly elected and appear on the primary ballot.

The 28 At-Large delegates are bound "winner-take-most" to presidential contenders based on the primary results statewide. [Article IX. Rule C. Section 1. and Section 4B.]

  • If a candidate receives more than 2/3 of the vote statewide, that candidate receives all 28 delegates.
  • Otherwise, if only 1 candidate receives 20% or more of the vote, that candidate receives all 28 delegates.
  • Otherwise, if 2 or more candidates receive more than 20% of the vote, the delegates are distributed proportionally to those candidates receiving more than 20% of the statewide vote. (Here, the "total qualified vote" is the total number of votes cast to those candidates receiving more than 20% of the statewide vote.)
  • Otherwise, delegates are distributed proportionally. (The "total qualified vote" = total statewide vote.)
  • One half of the at-large delegates are directly elected and appear on the primary ballot.

Proportional distribution and rounding: Beginning with the candidate who received the most votes, multiply [the percentage of votes received] by [28 National Convention Delegates] and divide by [total qualified vote]. Round any remainder up to the next whole number. Repeat for the next highest vote getter until all 28 delegates are allocated.

The 28 At-Large delegates include the 10 "at-large" and 18 bonus delegates apportioned to Tennessee. They do not include the 3 RNC delegates. These delegates are bound to Presidential candidates based on the results of the primary. Half are elected in the primary and half are appointed by the Executive Committee with the consent of the respective Presidential campaigns. When determining "half" divide the total number of At-Large delegates by 2. If there are fractional delegates, round up the number of delegates appointed by the Executive Committee and round down the number of delegates determined by the Primary. [Article IX. Rule C. Section 2.]

  • Remaining Delegates: 58 total - 27 district - 3 party leader delegates = 28.
  • Take half: 28 ÷ 2 = 14.
  • No rounding is necessary: 14 are elected in the Primary and 14 are appointed by the Executive Committee.

20 posted on 03/05/2012 8:24:22 AM PST by deport (..............God Bless Texas............)
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To: CainConservative

“defeat the two liberals, Willard & Barack.”

Defeat the two liberals and the fruitcake, Willard barack & Paul.

To win we need a “Fiscal Conservative” as well as a “Social Conservative,” We need a team CAPTAIN not a team player. We need NEWT.


30 posted on 03/05/2012 8:30:49 AM PST by duffee (NEWT 2012)
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To: CainConservative
Santorum needs to drop out and let Romney and Newt fight it out.

If Newt leaves, I won't even bother voting in the primary.

72 posted on 03/05/2012 10:45:07 AM PST by fortheDeclaration (All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. Burke)
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