Posted on 03/06/2012 5:46:25 AM PST by VU4G10
PRINCETON, NJ -- Mitt Romney leads Rick Santorum by 16 percentage points in Feb. 29-March 4 Gallup Daily tracking of national Republican registered voters' preferences for their party's nomination. Romney is at 38%, Santorum 22%, Newt Gingrich 15%, and Ron Paul 12%. Santorum led Romney by 10 points as recently as Feb. 20.
Romney's current 38% of the vote is the highest percentage any candidate has obtained since Gallup Daily tracking of the race began on Dec. 1, and comes in the wake of Romney's wins in the Feb. 28 Michigan and Arizona primaries. Romney won the Washington state GOP nonbinding caucuses on Saturday, but that victory would have had only a limited impact on the latest five-day rolling national average, which extends back through last Wednesday.
The March 6 slate of 10 primaries and caucuses in the so-called Super Tuesday states has the potential to once more alter the national standings of the candidates. Romney is widely expected to lose in Gingrich's home state of Georgia, and faces a tough challenge in Tennessee and Oklahoma. Romney is likely to win in his home state of Massachusetts and the contiguous state of Vermont. The critical state will be Ohio, partly because pre-election polling shows the race there to be very close and partly because it is considered to be a bellwether state that will be important in this fall's election.
Romney's strong momentum nationally in recent days suggests that he may do better than expected in the 10 Super Tuesday states.
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
That being said, he would be a GHWB-type of “Republican” president and do little to remove the damage Soetoro was unleashed.
Disclosure: I'm a Newt backer, and a Perry backer before him.
“was” should be “has”
Same here. I'm in Virginia; my husband called a moment ago and said he just cast his primary vote for Ron Paul. I'll be doing the same thing a little later.
This is what gave us Rick Santorum. People fooled into thinking he was actually winning meaningful contests, and was a viable candidate. They are in for a rude awakening.
Newt rising in Ohio, 24% in the poll with largest sampling of Likely Voters.
Newt could be a winner-take-all in Georgia. 50% is easily within his reach.
Also, he’s rising in Tennessee and putting serious effort in Oklahoma.
Any thoughts on Alaska, anyone? I’m predicting that as a roughly 4-way tie, 25-25-25-25%, which would be quite weird. They actually do have a fair amount of delegates (27).
Romney: 139. Virginia (49), Massachusetts (41), Vermont (17), Idaho (32) = 139
Newt: 232. Georgia (76), North Dakota (28), Tennessee (58), Oklahoma (43), Alaska (27) = 232
Rick: 66. Ohio (66), maybe.
There will be stragglers here and there, which will pretty much cancel each other out, though Mitt is guaranteed all of Virginia's 49. Newt will lose more at the margins than Romney, so after final adjustment:
Newt 206, Romney 168, Santorum 67, Paul 13
Ron Paul is weak in the south and will get nothing out of VA, GA, OK or TN. His only hope is ID, ND, VT and especially, AK.
Newt is my guy too! In a perfect word, I would need to be considering Newt, but Romney isn’t even a starter for me. Santorum is ok, but would get his head handed to him in a debate with Bamby. Newt would play with Bamby like a mouse plays with a catnip-filled toy!
Newt is my guy too! In a perfect world, I would need to be considering Newt, but Romney isn’t even a starter for me. Santorum is ok, but would get his head handed to him in a debate with Bamby. Newt would play with Bamby like a mouse plays with a catnip-filled toy!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.