Check out the bound delegates and Newt is ahead. It is still a very voilitile election and anything can and will happen.
So far of the Republican Primaries Mitt Romney has a supposed lead. Let’s take a closer look at that and his opponents.
Name Count: Primary Vic’s to Caucus Vic’s-—Bound Delegate %
Mitt has a total of 415: 268 primary to 147 caucus-65% bound
Rick has a total of 176:—80 primary to 96 caucus-—45% bound
... Newt has a total of 105:-92 primary to 13 caucus-—88% bound
Ron has a total of 47:——11 primary to 36 caucus-—23% bound
Why is this an issue? This is relevant for the fact that the difference between primary & caucus victories. Only primary victories are bound to the candidate; caucus victory delegates are therefore not bound and can change their mind before the GOP Convention is held.
So as you can see, even though, Mitt may have a higher tally, Newt has a higher percentage % of bound delegates at the moment.
Mitt has not yet broken the mark of 40% votes in the primaries, meaning still 60% of Republicans are not ready to vote for him. The global turnout is down, so if he is the nominee, he and his GOP elite will miserably fail next November.
I forsee the debacle coming.
Romney’s opponents may have no real chance to win the delegate fight—but they could kick the contest to Tampa, where all delegates are released after the first ballot.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/03/07/no-clear-path-to-victory-for-romney.html
Oh my dear, you just made my day brighter. Have stayed off this thing all morning. First thread and you have this great read. 88% BOUND, wow. Thank you.