Make no mistake... I'm not buying into the idea things are going well... far from it. My contention is voters at large believe it's "improving." Hidden from them is the fact the BLS unemployment rate is artificially kept low by the exclusion of those not currently seeking work. Because of that, voters think they see a positive economic trajectory.
ScottinVA wrote:
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Make no mistake... I’m not buying into the idea things are going well... far from it. My contention is voters at large believe it’s “improving.” Hidden from them is the fact the BLS unemployment rate is artificially kept low by the exclusion of those not currently seeking work. Because of that, voters think they see a positive economic trajectory.
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But are the voters at large *really* believing the economy is improving? Obama’s job approval numbers have been trending back down to the mid-40s in Rasmussen’s daily tracking poll of like voters over the past couple of weeks, which is roughly where they’ve been for much of the past two years.
Not voters in red or purple states at or above the national rate -- because they're living this Depression II. And in that group, I see two states that will flip - IN & NC, and two states that will likely flip - FL & NV.
GOP flips those 4, and adds VA (6.1%) & OH (7.9%) == 271EV. Bye bye Bobo.
The math is that simple, and every one of the 3 viable GOP candidates knows that. That's why no one's gettin' out from here on out.