Rasmussen is probably the best to get a feel of what is going on. His daily roll up polls show that Obama has a core 25 percent support and opposition has a core 40 percent. That leaves a soft 35 percent that somewhat supports Obama or somewhat against Obama. The battle is winning these people on election day. All the GOP needs to do is win 1/3 of the mushy middle to exceed 50 percent while Obama must win 2/3 to exceed 50 percent. Not an easy feat to do and the Dems know that. By July we will have a good feel on how the economy is doing. I think the slowdown in the EU and high price of gasoline (caused by devalued US dollar/war talk and not supply/demand) will impact the psyche of the mushy middle.
I think Iran will be the kiss of death to this fraud just like it was to Jimmah.