Posted on 03/21/2012 8:04:50 AM PDT by CHRISTIAN DIARIST
“Majority of NC voters OPPOSE gay marriage ban.” So reads the headline accompanying a recent a Daily Kos blog post.
The headline was based on a poll, conducted by Elon University, in which 54 percent of respondents said they would reject a measure, appearing on the Tar Heel State’s May 8 ballot, which declares: “Marriage between one man and one woman is the only domestic legal union that shall be valid or recognized in this State.”
Supporters of same sex-marriage, including the Daily Kos, the flaming left-wing Democrat blog, cheered the Elon poll numbers. But there’s a glaring problem with the poll’s methodology that distorts its results to the point of being completely unreliable.
Indeed, the most accurate predictor of how a ballot measure – like North Carolina’s Amendment 1 – will fare at the polls is to survey likely voters. Less accurate – and, therefore, less preferable – is a survey of registered voters.
Well, the Elon poll, done in partnership with the Raleigh News & Observer, Charlotte Observer, WCNC TV Charlotte and News 14 Carolina, neither confines its survey to likely voters or even to registered voters.
Instead, it draws upon a sample of “the population in general,” according to Elon. The all-too-egalitarian pollster “does not restrict respondents by voter eligibility or likelihood of voting.”
That is precisely the methodology a politically-biased pollster would employ when producing a “push poll,” which is designed to influence voters by appealing to the innate desire all of us have to be on the winning side of a political campaign.
If Elon produced an accurate poll showing Amendment 1 leading with little more than a month before North Carolina voters go to the poll, it would dampen the campaign against the ballot measure.
But, by playing fast and loose with the numbers, suggesting – as Daily Kos did – that the majority of “voters” opposed the proposed state constitutional amendment, same-sex marriage proponents make it appear that momentum is on their side.
Such deception is to be expected from the Daily Kos, which makes no pretense of observing rigorous journalistic practices. But I would have expected more from the News & Observer and Charlotte Observer, both mid-major daily newspapers. And even from the two TV news organizations.
Alas, the North Carolina media has almost completely abandoned objectivity in its coverage of Amendment 1.
News organizations in the Tar Heel State are so transparently supportive of same-sex marriage that the papers in Raleigh and Charlotte, along with WCNC and News 14 Carolina, were perfectly happy to have their names and reputations attached to an all-too-obviously biased poll.
Dead souls in service to the father of lies are push-polling to serve a degenerate agenda. Are we surprised?
It is a warning signal of how low our country has fallen that same sex marriage shoud even be given a thought.
It is an abomination, an act against the natural order of things ,and a perversion of the way of life on this planet for a 3,000 years.
The gay marriage ban even passed in liberal Oregon. But with the courts we have, it doesn’t matter.
The media has been a cheerleader for homosexual marriage. So of course the media is against this vote on an amendment defining marriage in the traditional manner.
If the author expected more from the Raleigh News and Obstructor, they’re naive. It’s as bad a liberal rag as there is in any city in the United States. You just had to see its coverage of the Duke lacrosse framing to figure that out.
}:-)4
What’s the problem? If a “majority” of voters are “opposed” to the ban as this poll says, then they will get what they want anyway.
Prop 8 passed by 52% in 2008. That’s pretty damn close, does it pass today?
I agree that these polls are very unreliable, though. No way does NC pass gay marriage, but it isn’t going to pass by as much as the bulk of them passed in southern states in the middle of the last decade.
Freegards
Ah yes, the ‘I believe anything the media and pollsters tell me’ typical fool.
It’s amazing. Every poll says Americans favor gay “marriage”, but they fight tooth and nail to let people vote on it. I wonder why?
this is why the left uses the phrase “marriage equality” thus implying a sexual fetish is the same as a relationship that produces the childre society needs for the future.
This is like using “fairness” as code for raising taxes.
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