Way below the 50% mark would follow...
Others would walk.
We’re not N. Korea where they’re bribed w access to food.
I was enlisted and have family still serving and they’d walk.
I think youll be amazed at how many obey, I predict in the 90% range. As I said some will refuse. Perhaps those in your family would. If they do you’ll never see them again or wind up visiting them in the brig. At any rate you best swap those rose colored glasses from some that help you see better.