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Why High Oil Prices Even At $200 Won't Cause A Recession
The Market Oracle ^ | 4-12-2012 | Money Morning

Posted on 04/12/2012 6:03:25 PM PDT by blam

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1 posted on 04/12/2012 6:03:30 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam
$8 a gallon gas in time for the election?

I'll take it!

2 posted on 04/12/2012 6:10:11 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Over half of U.S. murders are of black people, and 90% of them are committed by other black people.)
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To: blam

” Why High Oil Prices Even At $200 Won’t Cause A Recession “

Won’t cause a recession because we’re already in one - it could, however, transform the current recession into a full-blown depression....


3 posted on 04/12/2012 6:10:40 PM PDT by Uncle Ike (Rope is cheap, and there are lots of trees...)
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To: blam

When you have to pay more for gas to get to the grocery store to pay more for groceries and every thing else you start scrimping. That shows up in the overall economy.


4 posted on 04/12/2012 6:13:20 PM PDT by Lurkina.n.Learnin (The democratic party is the greatest cargo cult in history.)
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To: blam

Is this guy just looking at what people pay out at the pumps?

Is he not looking at all the other products (including heating oil) that the high cost of oil is pushing up? Everything you buy is going up due to transportation costs.


5 posted on 04/12/2012 6:13:32 PM PDT by CapnJack
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To: blam

This article is breath-takingly stupid....museum quality stupid. $7 gas will ensure a recession and civil unrest. The fact that Europeans pay more is irrelevant. Europeans don’t have the transportation needs or housing patterns we do. $7 gas (which means very expensive diesel, too) will also send the cost of food through the roof.


6 posted on 04/12/2012 6:14:33 PM PDT by achilles2000 ("I'll agree to save the whales as long as we can deport the liberals")
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To: blam

I disagree with his implicit assumption that we are not already in a recession. Yah yah I know it ended in 2009, except here we are three years later and the job situation is only getting worse each month.

That said, oil at $200 a barrel leading to $6+/gallon gasoline will take the last few dollars of any number of people and small companies still trying to get by — commuters, contractors driving from job to job, any delivery service, etc.


7 posted on 04/12/2012 6:15:26 PM PDT by jiggyboy (Ten percent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
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To: blam

It’ll cause a Flukeing recession at my house...that’s enough.


8 posted on 04/12/2012 6:16:02 PM PDT by FrankR
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To: blam

In my economy, higher gas prices have done great harm. None of the people care about what some dude calling himself an oracle thinks.

We just know that our money is disappearing with high food and gas prices.

No vacations or fun anymore. Obama is responsible for that.
May he rot in a dark place.


9 posted on 04/12/2012 6:16:57 PM PDT by dforest
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To: All


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10 posted on 04/12/2012 6:18:56 PM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: CapnJack
Hutchinson is a bear. In fact...

The Prudent Bear

11 posted on 04/12/2012 6:20:58 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam

If Americans would drill more then expensive oil would be good for the economy. Here in Canada, the value of the dollar rises and falls with the price of oil; several years ago, when our dollar was worth $0.70, a Royal Bank economist predicted that our dollar would reach par when oil hit $100. Our dollar passed parity when oil was ~$98.


12 posted on 04/12/2012 6:21:33 PM PDT by Squawk 8888 (Tories in- now the REAL work begins!)
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To: blam
and when the poor go on welfare because they lost their jobs because they can no longer afford to drive to work and back and still pay for food and rent???
13 posted on 04/12/2012 6:22:31 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist - *DTOM* -ww- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: blam

Stupid article written by a complete dumb-ass.


14 posted on 04/12/2012 6:24:52 PM PDT by kempo
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To: blam

“With Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s zero-interest-rate policies in place until 2014, and the chance of yet more “stimulus,” it is indeed possible we will see oil at $200 per barrel.”

Just as long as Federal government salaries and free transportation stays above the effects....As for the rest.....

.....ride bicycles, like China.


15 posted on 04/12/2012 6:26:56 PM PDT by Varsity Flight (Phony-Care is the Government Work-Camp: Arbeitsziehungslager)
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To: blam
Indeed, we should not expect it to; Europe has suffered from gas prices of $8 to $10 a gallon for several years now. While the European economy has many problems, it seems to survive its gas prices.

This comparison is quite incompetent. The attentive observer would immediately want to know how many gallons per year are bought by the average euro vs the average American motorist. What percentage of disposable income would 8 to 10 dollar gas absorb from the average American vs the gas bill for the average euro.

The average mileage for Americans is from 12 to 15,000 miles per year. For the UK, by comparison, it is around 9200-9500 miles. With better mileage per gallon, most likely, as well. Probably even less on the mainland.

16 posted on 04/12/2012 6:37:04 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: achilles2000

Breathtakingly stupid - I couldn’t have said it better myself.


17 posted on 04/12/2012 6:50:53 PM PDT by C. Edmund Wright
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To: Varsity Flight; blam
".....ride bicycles, like China."

Let's wear those cool conical hats, too, eh, and those catfish-looking, long mustaches and eyebrows. And when we pass each other on our bikes just after gas price hikes, you yell, "Those bastards!" I'll reply, "Right!" [Just like in the old, English-dubbed kung fu movies.] ;-)


18 posted on 04/12/2012 7:27:53 PM PDT by familyop (We Baby Boomers are croaking in an avalanche of rotten politics smelled around the planet.)
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To: Squawk 8888
"If Americans would drill more then expensive oil would be good for the economy. Here in Canada, the value of the dollar rises and falls with the price of oil; several years ago, when our dollar was worth $0.70, a Royal Bank economist predicted that our dollar would reach par when oil hit $100. Our dollar passed parity when oil was ~$98."

Well said and true.


19 posted on 04/12/2012 7:30:40 PM PDT by familyop (We Baby Boomers are croaking in an avalanche of rotten politics smelled around the planet.)
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To: blam

I’m sure that for old Marty...the price of hi-test for the 5 series Bimmer is a pretty irrelevant day to day expense.

However...for the rest of us peons and peasants.....it’s becoming ever more the bulk of our discretionary income.


20 posted on 04/12/2012 7:36:54 PM PDT by mo (If you understand, no explanation is needed. If you don't understand, no explanation is possible.)
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