[Kenny Bunk]

(1)Latinos
(2) women
(3) college kids (and faculty)
(4) union members
(5) and blacks.

That's the Democrat base, OK. Our only chance is to win very heavy support from the women. God help the nation.

[Usagi_yo]

You guys are nuts. Half the country is not virulently liberal. Obama is going to lose and lose very big.

The swing vote is very much right of center and Obama is going to lose well into the slightly left of center voters.

This will be a landslide with the GOP nominee getting well into the mid to high 50’s leaving Obama in the low 40’s. And to hammer the point home even harder, Obama will lose the NW and California will be in play.

[jersey117]

You left off gays from the list. And I wouldn’t give up on the college kids. They’re not all cut from the “occupy” cloth. Just look at the hundreds of thousands of kids attending football games at college campuses across the country. I’d guess a large percentage of them are from all-American families. The republican candidate needs to campaign at colleges across the country and ask them if they want to join the previous four graduating classes under obama to come out into the world to no good paying jobs, a mountain of debt and go back to live with mom and dad. What has he done for them in four years?

[Reily]

I think Zero's percentage of the college kid vote will be severely impacted by the economy's lack of jobs. Now they might not vote GOP, they might just stay home, likewise with women..
Depending on how this Zimmerman-Martin thing plays out will impact his share of the Latin vote.
The back vote is monolithic, it's possible the turn out will be suppressed since Zero didn't pay all their bills and wants from his “stash”. That fear of a lowering in black turnout is one of the motivating factors in the race card being played over the shooting. Unfortunately the “bad guy” doesn't quite fit the expected profile.