LOL, who is this 3rd party candidate that is getting 13% of vote? The Libertarians (unless maybe Paul runs) will get their standard .5% of the vote and other 3rd party's like the Constitution party will get a tiny fraction of the vote as per usual (think .15% or thereabouts). The total 3rd party take will amount to around 1-2% of the vote.
I'd be surprised if Romney gets 32-33%...
I agree that Romney is probably going to lose, but it will likely be a very close election and the victor is only going to win by a narrow margin. The scenario you've put forward here is utterly divorced from political reality and seems based on the idea that masses of Republican voters won't turn out for Mitt. That is a bad assumption. The hatred for Obama and desire to remove him from office will be sufficient to energize the vast majority of Republicans and even most conservatives. People like Palin, Santorum, Newt, Perry, Cain, Bachmann will all be out campaigning for him too in order to get the grass roots out.
Willard is a truly uninspiring and lousy candidate, but the idea some people are putting forward that he can't win is ridiculous. The bad economy alone gives him a decent chance. I'd say the chameleon has a 30-40% chance to be elected President.
And again, trying to float the meme that Rominy is the nominee so we should do our comparisons between little barry bastard and high priset Milt. I’m beginning to get the notion that it would be best for barry dunham/ aka barry soetoro, aka little barry bastard be re-elected and have to deal with a republicn run Senate and House. ... Although, the Republicnas have shown themselves to be cowardly and feckless, so they would probably not restrain the commie-in-chief much at all. It would however end the GOP-e election thuggery.
Ask yourself: Are there REALLY that many voters -- 85% or 90% of the "pie" of registered voters who actually show up to vote...who would vote for one of two mainstream liberal candidates?
In order for it to be a close election, you're looking at well over 85% of the nation -- perhaps 90% -- voting liberal...
Is our nation that far gone?