Per 270towin.com, if Romney has 191 now, and he takes FL (29), NC (15), and VA (13), that puts him at 248.
Then he needs any two of OH (Kasich), PA (can Santorum deliver?), MI (alleged “home” state of Romney), or CO.
If Christie is so popular in NJ, can he deliver for Mitt? Strange that they don’t call this a battleground at least.
“Create your own map:”
I did, and by my best-scenario prediction, Romney wins it 270 to 268 electoral votes.
Obama gets:
CA
CO
CT
DC
DE
HI
IA
IL
MA
MD
ME
MI
MN
NM
NV
NY
OR
PA
RI
VT
WA
WI
Romney gets the rest, including Florida, Virginia, and Ohio. Without these, he loses.
Even with the numbers above, Nebraska could throw a wrench into things because their electoral votes are “split” (not winner-take-all). Suppose Obama wins the district that includes Omaha? In that case, wouldn’t it end up as a 269-269 tie? (Note, Maine also assigns electoral votes proportionally, but I expect Obama to win everything there).
Too bad the Republican legislature of Pennsylvania failed to pass legislation making PA a “split electoral vote” state. If that were the case, Romney might pick up at least half of the ev’s there.
But this election isn’t going to be easy.
It’s going to be a squeaker or a blowout.
And for the “R guy”, the best he can hope for is being the squeaker....
That’s the way I see it.
Your viewpoint may be different.