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Mitt Romney leads Obama in first Gallup national tracking poll
The Hill ^ | April 16, 2012 | Jonathan Easley

Posted on 04/16/2012 12:03:42 PM PDT by Free ThinkerNY

Mitt Romney leads President Obama in the first Gallup national daily tracking poll.

Romney took 47 percent support from surveyed registered voters, while Obama took 45 in a poll conducted between April 11 and April 15. Romney's edge though is within the poll's three point margin of error.

Independents tipped the scale in favor of Romney, going for the former Massachusetts governor 45 percent to 39.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012gopprimary; 2012polls; abo; bho2012; fumr; romney; romney2012
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1 posted on 04/16/2012 12:03:48 PM PDT by Free ThinkerNY
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To: Free ThinkerNY

This is bad.

No Romney, no way.


2 posted on 04/16/2012 12:13:10 PM PDT by brownsfan (Aldous Huxley and Mike Judge were right.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Registered, not likely voters. Add 3-4 points to Romney’s total.


3 posted on 04/16/2012 12:13:10 PM PDT by Parmenio
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To: brownsfan
This is bad.

Err, so how would it be any better if Obama were leading? It's either going to be Romney or Obama that wins, so are you going to actively cheer for Obama to lead the polls instead?

4 posted on 04/16/2012 12:19:36 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: brownsfan

This is bad.

No Romney, no way.

___________________

Seriously? No way Romney is worse than Obama. None. He isn’t my first choice, but I will easily vote for him in November. W. wasn’t the best we have had (prescription drug benefit, no child left behind, etc.) but he gave us Roberts and Alito...which just might save us from Obamacare.

Let’s get Romney in there, then hold his feet to the fire like we did with Bush when he nominated Harriet Myers...It’s our only chance at this point.


5 posted on 04/16/2012 12:19:40 PM PDT by Tulane
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Romney’s edge though is within the poll’s three point margin of error.
++++++++
...and easily within the well known “ACORN Margin of Obama Victory Index”.


6 posted on 04/16/2012 12:19:51 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (TIN)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Bull$hit. This is just push-polling to try to seal the deal for Romney at the GOP convention.


7 posted on 04/16/2012 12:20:18 PM PDT by MeganC (No way in Hell am I voting for Mitt Romney. Not now, not ever. Deal with it.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

As a Romney loather I do have to say this is fair news. I want Obama GONE baby, GONE. Hello freepers!


8 posted on 04/16/2012 12:20:48 PM PDT by toddausauras (FUBO x 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000)
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To: brownsfan

IMHO, anyway you cut it, Obama losing is good...very good. He’s intent on willfully taking the country down and four more years will do potentially irreprable harm.

We can and will survive Romney...can probably even hold his feet to his campaign pledges. Besides, Newt may still pull off a miracle and force a brokered convention.

The Man who Despises America
http://www.jeffhead.com/obama-time.htm

America at the Crossroads of History
http://www.jeffhead.com/crossroads.htm


9 posted on 04/16/2012 12:21:04 PM PDT by Jeff Head (Freedom is not free, never has been, never will be (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
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To: brownsfan

And the alternative of another 4 years from p-resident Jarjar and First Lady Chewbacca doesn’t scare you?


10 posted on 04/16/2012 12:22:29 PM PDT by max americana
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To: brownsfan

This is bad.

No Romney, no way. . . . .

_____________________________________________________________

This is bad? Ok I could understand how Romney beating Michelle Bachman is bad, how beating Cain is bad, I can even understand how Romney beating Santorum or Gingrich is bad. Beating Obama is bad? Hillary beating Obama might not be wonderful but better than Obama.

I personally believe ANY repoublican, even RINOs beating Obama is not bad. There are always better possibilities, but get real, unless you want Obama to win, which I simply cannot understand how is anybody beating him bad?


11 posted on 04/16/2012 12:23:38 PM PDT by JAKraig (Surely my religion is at least as good as yours)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Romney will lead the polls until he is safely nominated, and perhaps a bit beyond that. Then they will report the real poll numbers, or perhaps pad Obama’s lead a bit, in order to suppress turnout. Getting many of us to vote for Romney is hard enough. Show him losing, and even fewer will make the effort.


12 posted on 04/16/2012 12:25:40 PM PDT by Ingtar
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To: Free ThinkerNY
This poll has 2265 registered voters, not likely voters.

When further questioned, an additional 4% of the pubbies said they will definitely vote.

The real results of this poll are much worse for obama than the 2% that is indicated.

It is at least 6 and probably closer to 10%.

Gallup doesn't want to put down such a wide margin this early in the spring.

13 posted on 04/16/2012 12:26:48 PM PDT by USS Alaska (Nuke the terrorists savages.)
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To: toddausauras

I don’t care who beats obumbler at this point. Any non muslim non commie non race baiter non redistributionist intent on reshaping america in his own warped image will do.


14 posted on 04/16/2012 12:27:30 PM PDT by wiggen (The teacher card. When the racism card just won't work.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Like many here, I am not excited about Romney nor was he my choice. However I will back him fully to get rid of Obama. I think these numbers are very accurate for now. It is going to come down to about 10 states (unfortunately their is a built in bias in some states that we won’t be able to probably ever replace), however any swing voters are going to be looking at the pocket book, no way is there anything in Obama’s four years or upcoming years are good for him. Romney needs to attack Obama as hard as he went after Republican candidates. Gloves off, take no prisoners.


15 posted on 04/16/2012 12:27:45 PM PDT by shoedog
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To: InterceptPoint
...and easily within the well known “ACORN Margin of Obama Victory Index”.

Gingrich's my guy, now that Santorum has dropped out, but any given GOP candidate will crush Obama, given that in 2008, he outspent McCain 3 to 1 and only beat him by 6% in the popular vote. The GOP nominee will probably beat Obama in campaign fund-raising this year, because of the defection of former Obama supporters who thought the guy was a moderate. Romney alone is out-raising Obama on Wall Street, and for a while, Mittens was sharing the stage with other GOP candidates who were also getting Wall Street money. An electoral vote landslide (>10% margin of victory in electoral votes) is a given - the only question is the magnitude. And that will depend on Romney choosing a solid conservative as veep.

16 posted on 04/16/2012 12:28:01 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: All

You guys just don’t get it. We’re tired of RINOs, so we want to stay home, or write in someone.

When Obama wins, the GOP-e will get the message!

Right?

No Romney, no way. Just as SoConPubbie.


17 posted on 04/16/2012 12:29:06 PM PDT by brownsfan (Aldous Huxley and Mike Judge were right.)
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To: Longbow1969

I am with you. Voting ABO this year.


18 posted on 04/16/2012 12:35:15 PM PDT by Mikey_1962 (Obama: The Affirmative Action President.)
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To: brownsfan

Oh joy. Fauxbama leads Nobama. Hooray.


19 posted on 04/16/2012 12:35:52 PM PDT by ScottinVA (A single drop of American blood for muslims is one drop too many!)
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To: Mikey_1962; Longbow1969

I am voting CO this year.


20 posted on 04/16/2012 12:37:12 PM PDT by Ingtar
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To: wiggen

I’m with you, I wanted Palin, Cain, and Newt in that order. but at the end of the day I don’t care who it is as long as it isn’t obama.


21 posted on 04/16/2012 12:37:42 PM PDT by Jeff Vader
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To: Zhang Fei
that will depend on Romney choosing a solid conservative as veep.

There is the first issue. This will not work for Romney as well as it did for McCain. That is also assuming he would pick a Conservative.

22 posted on 04/16/2012 12:39:50 PM PDT by Ingtar
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To: Free ThinkerNY
Wow.

Gallup?

I didn't see this coming.

For the last year I've been upsetting people at Free Republic with my prediction that Obama would be easily reelected.

23 posted on 04/16/2012 12:42:21 PM PDT by zeestephen
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To: Jeff Vader
I’m with you, I wanted Palin, Cain, and Newt in that order. but at the end of the day I don’t care who it is as long as it isn’t obama.

The way I look at it, Mittens declined to comment on the Zimmerman imbroglio. That set him apart - in a good way - from both Obama and Santorum (my guy until he dropped out), whose common stance was, essentially, "get a rope".

24 posted on 04/16/2012 12:42:28 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: brownsfan

Lets just get obama the hell out of office and then we can fight myth.

Obama needs to go, period. He is a plague on this nation, a tyrant, a destroyer of everything we hold dear, etc.

FFFUUUUBBBOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


25 posted on 04/16/2012 12:43:17 PM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: brownsfan
When Obama wins, the GOP-e will get the message!

The USA will get the message. It will be game, set, and match for the US of A. This country will be transformed by Obama and put on a path to permanent decline and destruction. Obamacare will be the last nail in the coffin of this country as the Left and the welfare state bankrupt the country. In the interim, they will strip and plunder DOD (Guns vs Butter) and increase taxes to keep the welfare state treading water for a little longer.

America will look like CA demographically and economically in the next 40 years. The Dems will be the permanent majority party and the vision and values of our Founders will be a distant memory save for a vestigal Constitution that no longer serves any real purpose. Obama will appoint two to three more justices to SCOTUS in the mold of Kagan and Sotomayor.

I guess that will serve the GOP Establishment right. In fact, maybe you should work hard to get Obama reelected to ensure that the message is sent.

26 posted on 04/16/2012 12:45:10 PM PDT by kabar
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To: Longbow1969

You know, this whole whinning and lamentations over Romney reminds me of a scene from a comedy. A guy is being stopped by police for some crime, and the guy essentially takes himself hostage pulls out his gun and shouts to the police, stop, or I’ll shoot myself!
Romney is bad, but hussein is worse. Like it or not, and I do not, there are only 2 choices. Hussein will transform this nation into a socialist dictatorship. It is much less likely that Romney would do the same thing. Those who believe that Romney would be more dangerous should make the case right here and vote for hussein.


27 posted on 04/16/2012 12:45:55 PM PDT by grumpygresh (Democrats delenda est; zero sera dans l'enfer bientot.)
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To: GlockThe Vote

“Obama needs to go, period. He is a plague on this nation, a tyrant, a destroyer of everything we hold dear, etc.”

I’m told here that Romney would be worse.


28 posted on 04/16/2012 12:46:29 PM PDT by brownsfan (Aldous Huxley and Mike Judge were right.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Vote for the more conservative candidate. Always. Even if the more conservative is not A conservative, vote for the more conservative.


29 posted on 04/16/2012 12:47:59 PM PDT by TexasNative2000 (Jimmy Carter's incompetence + Richard Nixon's paranoia = Barack Obama)
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To: brownsfan
When Obama wins, the GOP-e will get the message!

Our grand kids will get the message.

30 posted on 04/16/2012 12:50:33 PM PDT by USS Alaska (Nuke the terrorists savages.)
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To: kabar

“I guess that will serve the GOP Establishment right. In fact, maybe you should work hard to get Obama reelected to ensure that the message is sent.”

Exactly!

See, the FR message is getting out. We are the resistance.


31 posted on 04/16/2012 12:52:18 PM PDT by brownsfan (Aldous Huxley and Mike Judge were right.)
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To: brownsfan

See Post 26. Stay home, and there may not be an election in 2016.


32 posted on 04/16/2012 12:52:18 PM PDT by Optimom
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To: Jeff Vader

Sarah was always my choice. all i know is we cannot afford 4 more years of this guy. After 4 more years there won’t be some glorious conservative march into power. we might win from the right at that point but after 4 more years what will be won? The right to slowly guide America into 3rd world status? The right to bargain with the rest of the world over our debt like Greece? The chance to finally restructure government benefits when the number getting aid and govt pensions combined will be over 60%? Hows that going to work? We may get in but it won’t be glorious.


33 posted on 04/16/2012 12:53:07 PM PDT by wiggen (The teacher card. When the racism card just won't work.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Romney will be a stronger candidate then McCain was. If not for Sara Palin McCain would have lost by 20 percent.


34 posted on 04/16/2012 12:53:29 PM PDT by BobinIL
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To: Optimom

“See Post 26. Stay home, and there may not be an election in 2016.”

Don’t over think this.
FR says: No Romney, no way.
Stay home, or write in.

Send the GOPe a message.


35 posted on 04/16/2012 12:56:48 PM PDT by brownsfan (Aldous Huxley and Mike Judge were right.)
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To: USS Alaska

Our grand kids will get the message....

The plain and awful truth.


36 posted on 04/16/2012 12:56:48 PM PDT by Optimom
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Fake poll to get Romney nominated.

We must hold their feet to the fire!

Already Dick Cheney is dead to me for his glowing endorsement.

IF Bachmann or Palin endorse Mitt, they must be removed from office or influence of the TP.


37 posted on 04/16/2012 1:03:40 PM PDT by KSanders (Hope and Change is now Class and Gender warfare)
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To: TexasNative2000
Vote for the more conservative candidate.

Lesser of two evils II?

38 posted on 04/16/2012 1:04:23 PM PDT by Ingtar
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To: brownsfan

“When Obama wins, the GOP-e will get the message!”

Just like they did in 08?

Conservatives fit the Einstein’s definition of insanity.

Pushing, prodding, cajoling the GOP into conservatism is FAIL.

We need to start a new party.


39 posted on 04/16/2012 1:10:24 PM PDT by KSanders (Conservatives = Einstein's definition of insanity. Pushing, prodding the GOP to conservatism is FAIL)
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To: brownsfan

Romney might be worse than Obama - I agree 100%

BUT BUT BUT BUT BUT BUT

There is also a chance, whether its 15% or 50% that Mittens will be bettern than Obama.

There is 0% chance Obama will be any better in a second term than we have seen in the last four years, and all signs point to far worse under Obama in a second term.

I am voting for ABO in november based on that chance, albeight small, that mittens will be better than Obama, not that I am convinced he will or wont be.

Does that make sense?


40 posted on 04/16/2012 1:11:33 PM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: brownsfan
When Obama wins, the GOP-e will get the message!

I voted third party in 1992, 1996, 2004, and 2008 in an attempt to send a message to the GOP.

So far, it isn't working out quite like I planned.....

41 posted on 04/16/2012 1:18:35 PM PDT by Notary Sojac (Oh, no!! Uzbeks have drunk my battery fluid!)
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To: Tulane; Jim Robinson
I will easily vote for him in November...

Let’s get Romney in there...


bye bye
42 posted on 04/16/2012 1:19:53 PM PDT by Brown Deer (Pray for 0bama. Psalm 109:8)
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To: Tulane

Romney loves himself. Obama hates America. Why can’t people see that the former is WAY better than the latter?


43 posted on 04/16/2012 1:23:28 PM PDT by Doctor 2Brains (If the government were Paris Hilton, it could not score a free drink in a bar full of lonely sailors)
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To: brownsfan

I’m not voting for Romney, but could I actually cheer an Obama victory?? Don’ think so....


44 posted on 04/16/2012 1:23:48 PM PDT by Notary Sojac (Oh, no!! Uzbeks have drunk my battery fluid!)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Only the number of votes in the electoral college can elect a POTUS... National polls won’t matter.


45 posted on 04/16/2012 1:23:48 PM PDT by aMorePerfectUnion ("Of two evils, choose neither." -- Charles Spurgeon)
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To: Jeff Head

“IMHO, anyway you cut it, Obama losing is good...very good. He’s intent on willfully taking the country down and four more years will do potentially irreprable harm.
We can and will survive Romney...can probably even hold his feet to his campaign pledges.”

The difference between a Romney administration from 2013-2017 vs. a second term for Obama is, that with the former, conservatives “live to fight again” in the political realm. With the latter, there may not be “a fight next time”, other than by force of arms.

Some could be chomping at the bit for just such a struggle, but one must be careful about what one wishes for. Although we as a fragmenting nation may indeed be headed in that direction, it’s not “Seven Days In May” time quite yet....


46 posted on 04/16/2012 1:26:07 PM PDT by Road Glide
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To: GlockThe Vote

“Does that make sense?”

Not to the PTB here at FR. I’m going with the consensus here.


47 posted on 04/16/2012 1:27:53 PM PDT by brownsfan (Aldous Huxley and Mike Judge were right.)
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To: Tulane

The election is 7+ months away. In politics that is a lifetime. This poll is, in and of itself, meaningless. Here’s why:

The MSM are pushing Romney. This poll is specifically meant to discourage Conservatives. The way you’re babbling on about Romney, a national socialist (fascist) being no way worse that Obama, the left-wing in this country is manipulating the fears of folks like you successfully.


48 posted on 04/16/2012 1:29:25 PM PDT by SatinDoll (No Foreign Nationals as our President!)
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To: Notary Sojac

“I’m not voting for Romney, but could I actually cheer an Obama victory?? Don’ think so....”

It’s a distinction without difference.


49 posted on 04/16/2012 1:31:41 PM PDT by brownsfan (Aldous Huxley and Mike Judge were right.)
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To: Zhang Fei

” An electoral vote landslide (>10% margin of victory in electoral votes) is a given - the only question is the magnitude. And that will depend on Romney choosing a solid conservative as veep.”

I wish I had your optimism, but I don’t.

Here’s my prediction (from another thread):
Romney wins it 270 to 268 electoral votes.
Obama gets:
CA
CO
CT
DC
DE
HI
IA
IL
MA
MD
ME
MI
MN
NM
NV
NY
OR
PA
RI
VT
WA
WI

Romney gets the rest, including Florida, Virginia, and Ohio. Without ALL of these, he loses.

Even with the numbers above, Nebraska could throw a wrench into things because their electoral votes are “split” (not winner-take-all). Suppose Obama wins the district that includes Omaha? In that case, wouldn’t it end up as a 269-269 tie? (Note, Maine also assigns electoral votes proportionally, but I expect Obama to win everything there).

Too bad the Republican legislature of Pennsylvania failed to pass legislation making PA a “proportionally-assigned electoral vote” state. If that were the case, Romney might pick up at least half of the ev’s there.

But this election isn’t going to be easy.
It’s going to be a squeaker or a blowout.
And for the “R guy”, the best he can hope for is being the squeaker....

That’s the way I see it...


50 posted on 04/16/2012 1:32:10 PM PDT by Road Glide
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