That uses all the best numbers for Romney. It includes unbound delegates and considers that FL is WTA (so Romney got all 50 delegates) but that SC wasn’t (which gives Romney 2 delegates that would have been Gingrich’s if RCP had been internally consistent in making all pre-April primaries WTA).
IOW, what you’ve presented is absolutely the best-case scenario for Romney. Which you’re presenting as inevitable.
Now I know better why Romney had to buy the “pro-life” groups. He knows he’s vulnerable. Well, this chick is going to fight back against the “pro-life” groups. Going to expose them for what they are: prostitutes.
If the “Rockefeller Republicans” were such a sure bet for Romney, then why did the VA GOP-e have to screw everybody but Romney and Ron Paul, to keep them off the ballot by changing the rules for petitions mid-stream? Why did they have to screw around with Maine’s votes? The criminality by the GOP-e reveals that they know this isn’t a shoe-in for Romney.
Unfortunately, that’s best case scenario for Gingrich. Gingrich won’t win NY, Del, Conn, NJ, Cali or Utah. Those are in Romney country. No chance.
Three of those (NY, Del, Conn) will be done by the end of this week. There’s only two people left in the race — which is why Romney will get 50%+ in NY and Conn.
If we assume Gingrich wins the rest (Penn, Missouri, NC, RI, Indiana, W.Virginia, Nebraska, Oregon, Kentucky, Arkansas, Texas, South Dakota, Montana, and Nebraska) ... those are almost all proportional States.
If Romney even takes 25% of the votes there, with the other 75% going to Gingrich, Romney will win in a landslide.
I can’t see Romney not getting to 1144 even under his worst case scenario.
SnakeDoc