I hate to say it but that would mean Obama wins a close one. But then I live in loony ground zero land so my perception may be tainted.
I live in a traditionally blue collar union Democrat area, and I can tell you that aside from college campi, poor black neighborhoods and amongst some activist loonies, Obama is NOT at all popular. I say he loses big. Especially since the railroading of George Zimmermann is causing so many to wonder what Barry would allow the Black Panther to do to the rest of us in a second term.