RCP Average is worthless since they include outliers that heavily skew the results
Rassmussen and Gallup are the two to keep an eye on. The others are mostly junk.
Averaging Gallup and Rasmussen still gives Obama +3
It’s still early, and the national poll is never the real issue. The issue is the state polls since electoral college votes determine the presidency.
Also, for the most part I prefer the likely voter polls to the registered voter polls, but this early in the campaign, there’s plenty of time for events to change registered into likely.
But, the bottom line for me is that the media has been bending over backward to make Romney look good, Obama is in a bad run with scandals all over the place, and he is still ahead to even.
It doesn’t look good for Romney
Actually, the only one of these (don’t know about this most recent one) that measures LIKELY voters has Romney ahead.