Historically, the challenger gets a surge in the final weeks of the campaign as the undecideds tend to break for the challenger 2-1.
Just a personal observation. This election cycle, nobody in my office is discussing politics - not even casually. Four years ago, the women in my office were chirping away about Obama and how wonderful he seemed to be. Dead silence this time around. I think there are a lot of people who are afraid to say they are against Obama, either for fear of being tagged as racist or simply that they don't want to admit how wrong they were four years ago. As a result, they will keep their mouths shut until they get into the voting booth.
Myself I'm watching Virginia and North Carolina.
Something drastic may happen to change things, but if not, I expect this election to be low in terms of enthusiasm and turnout.
Obama’s going to be a broken record on liberal scare tactics. That will likely turn out his base, but will not inspire people who voted for him for reasons of novelty or in expectation of miracles. The novelty has worn quite thin and the promised miracles have been more like curses.
I hope Romney has more than a few aces up his sleeve to get Republicans juiced enough to come out for him. Running as the NoBama candidate isn’t enough.