Posted on 05/02/2012 5:31:33 AM PDT by C19fan
Barack Obama won Virginia by six points in 2008, and if he were up against his almost-certain 2012 opponent Mitt Romney today, he would win it again by a similar margin. If Romney hopes to close that gap, the state’s governor Bob McDonnell would not help, and there is no question that one potential running mate would hurt: Eric Cantor. The Constitution Party candidacy of the state’s former congressman Virgil Goode could also draw votes away from Romney, to Obama’s advantage. Obama tops Romney by eight points, 51-43, up from a six-point (48-42) lead when PPP last polled the state last Demember. These results come among an electorate that reports voting for Obama by only four points over John McCain four years ago.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
June of 1998. Monthly. ABO. Flame-suit on.
There are 8 or so key states that will determine the winner in Nov. Those include, NC,OH,VA, PA, FL, MI, WI, IA, MO. As the conventions come into focus I expect we’ll start seeing more polling data from them.
NC SurveyUSA 4/26 - 4/30 1636 RV 47 43 Obama +4
FL Rasmussen 4/27 Obama 45, Romney 46 Romney +1
VA Rasmussen 4/25 Obama 44, Romney 45 Romney +1
4/20
OH FOX News Obama 45, Romney 39 Obama +6
OH Rasmussen Obama 46, Romney 42 Obama +4
FL FOX News Obama 45, Romney 43 Obama +2
Been warning people for quite some time. It’s really very simple. Romney is strong where Obama is strong and weak where Obama is weak. Obama as the incumbant is stronger than Romney. When you have a candidate who is stronger than another almost everywhere in the nation, that leads to landslides.
“In short, Romney has no base, no core values, no sure positions on anything... as such, he has no shot. None.”
Exactly so, and with a politically relevant third party Constitution candidate, he’s doomed.
How about laying that on the GOP voters instead of those who choose not to settle for a political Sybil who happens to sport an (R) next to his name?
Further south on 95 there are signs welcoming you to Virginia at rest areas. Obviously, the areas north of them are not “real” Virginia.
I’ve only been here eight years but there are definitely two different Virginias - the “urbane” establishments in Charlottesville, Tidewater, Richmond, and Northern Virginia, and then the rest of it.
I agree about opening the South to Obama. I think SC is too much to overcome for Obama, but I bet GA and TX become tossups. I do think Romney has a shot at NJ and I think ROmney wins IA, CO, and NV.
With or without a politically relevant third party candidate, Romney is toast anyway.
Lots of African Americans.
“NC SurveyUSA 4/26 - 4/30 1636 RV 47 43 Obama +4
FL Rasmussen 4/27 Obama 45, Romney 46 Romney +1
VA Rasmussen 4/25 Obama 44, Romney 45 Romney +1
4/20
OH FOX News Obama 45, Romney 39 Obama +6
OH Rasmussen Obama 46, Romney 42 Obama +4
FL FOX News Obama 45, Romney 43 Obama +2”
SO what that’s telling me is that VA is Romney’s strongest state, and he’s down by 13 when Goode is included. This election is over, since he’s down double digits in every single ‘swing state’.
I would love to see GA and SC polling, as well as the KY numbers.
“One of the founders was exactly right when he said - a republic can be sustained only while there is virtue in its populace.”
That’s why we need another revolution...a really “nasty” one. Right after that, rebuild. The cycle has stopped for more than 100 years and we are long overdue.
>> Obama has been the best thing to happen to the DC metro area since Congress decided to put the capital in that area <<
Simply incorrect. A huge growth spurt in NOVA occurred after 9/11, when the feds created something like 80,000 new jobs in homeland security. This was long before anybody outside of Harvard and Chicago knew anything about Øbama.
But ever since the 2008 crash, home prices are way down and commercial real estate vacancies are way up in the parts of Fairfax County (i.e., most of the county) that are outside the Beltway. It’s the exact opposite of a boom. One real estate agent I know said conditions are the worst he has seen in 35 years.
Obama will not win Virginia or North Carolina. As a matter of fact this thing could be a landslide for the GOP.
I do not believe that O wins VA
something is fishy w this poll
NorVa is loaded with government workers and immigrants; Richmond is packed with blacks; ditto for Newport News, Hampton and Norfolk.
IA, CO and NV are all pretty close to VA. If Romney’s down 10 in VA, he’ll lose all three and they won’t be close. 5+ in Nevada and 10+ in CO and VA.
TX, will go after SC, SC will go before GA. Romney’s up 5 in TX, but that was before this poll so it’s possible that TX is tossup. Hard as it is to believe.
Nothing fishy with the poll. It just reflects that with Virgil Goode taking 5 percent out of Romney’s hide that Obama just needs to hold the same people he did in 2008, and he’ll blow Romney out.
This is a PPP poll. PPP is Debbie Wasserman Schultz of the polling world.
Why vote for a Rat with an ‘R’ next to their name when you can vote for the real thing?
I think you are correct that a strong 3rd party candidate may well influnce the outcome in Nov. A strong showing in a few key states can definitely impact the outcome. It’s early yet as things won’t get really cranking until after the conventions.
Understood.But being the capital of a larger state one would think there'd be a lot of *state* workers (sorry,"workers") in and around Richmond.I know that the few times I've driven through there it strongly reminded me of Detroit(sorry for the offense).
Yeah, parts of it. The ‘burbs are pretty nice, though.
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