Posted on 05/07/2012 7:26:34 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Forget this poll and all others taken before. Mitt Romney has not yet begun to really fight Obama. Until we get into August, it’s useless to follow any poll. The vast numbers of American voters are not yet tuned in to the POTUS election.
However, things to note: Obama had a dismal campaign opener in Ohio where he addressed a half filled college arena. Obama poll numbers have been underwater for months, the economy is in deep recession, Obama cannot hold a campaign rally in public, other then on a college campus arena or labor union hall, etc. I predict things will get a lot worse for this failed POTUS, Obama on a number of fronts.
My own demograpics suggest he will lose big time to Romney, not because Romney is overpowering, but... because Obama should be a dogcatcher rather then USA POTUS. Right now, I predict: Romney, 55%, Obama, 45%. Over time, and, as Romney ramps up and gets better known, the polls will really start shifting in Romney’s direction. With luck, Romney could garner 57% of the votes cast versus 43% percent for Obama. Millions of young voters and American Blacks will sit on their hands, come election Day, November, 2012.
Obama will lose, that is certain. But.....the real damage will be the almost destruction of the current Democrat Party. Obama will drag down literally hundreds of Democrat officeholders all across the country. IMHO, The Democrat Party would be wise to broom Obama right now, either by forcing him out of office or, having Obama decline to run for re-election. Anything less means a “train wreck” of devastating dimensions for the Democrat Party.
There needs to be a season but when you have a media obsessed with government there are no limits to that obsession.
I fear we will have Carl Cameron’s smirk with us for eternity.
I prefer Romney win if only because his court picks will probably be more conservative than Obama's, but my fear is a Romney Presidency will do far more damage to conservatives over the long run.
He isn't interested in real reform which means his Presidency will wind up a failure, and even though he is not a conservative, his failure will be used to condemn conservatism overall.
Romney isn’t even the candidate yet.
This is, after all, politico.
If Romney wins (which he won’t), then you can kiss 2016 goodbye.
“It is a very depressing election. No matter who wins, we lose.”
No no no... may not be your Utopia but a Obama win we lose-lose and Romney win we lose some win some.... I’ll take the latter especially when applied to the courts....
We win some, we lose some over the next four years.
Looking further out into the future, I think a Romney presidency likely does tremendous damage to the GOP (not that big a deal to me) and to conservative principles (a huge deal to me).
If his presidency fails, and it will, it will set conservatism back for years. Our chances of electing a true conservative in the future gets much dimmer.
Don't get me wrong, I will vote for him and pray for the best, but it will be with a heavy heart.
I’m 100% for Romney and I will no longer call my stance ABO.
And I’m so sick of these repetivive arguments that I could scream.
I would if everyone could hear me.
We will have that in a few more years if I’m still alive to see it ... I mean hear it.
That is exactly the type of political obliteration that the RATS deserve - from White House to local dog catcher.
I love the thought of Obama losing and dragging all his cronies down with him.
Contrary to popular opinion here, I think Romney has the best chance against Obama of our candidates. I won’t rehash the old arguments here.
The dems lie without shame or hesitation. There was a girl named Margie (I think) on F&F this morning who was claiming Obama would win because he had created so many private sector jobs and people want to see that continue.
It’s amazing how they can say stuff like that and appear to mean it.
“I think in retrospect you will see this moment as the turning point in the polls and all of those yellow states on the electoral college map will go to light blue and even the light blue states such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin will turn yellow.”
Correction:
The yellow states will go pink.
Romney should do what Reagan did against Carter, one debate a week or so before the election. All he has to do is look like he’s not a complete idiot and he can win it big.
I'm voting... with my hands on my nose--for Obama-lite. If we let Zero win, we will not the nation that the founders made...
I know we aren't the nation founded, but I think ZERO will SUSPEND the CONSTITUTION if Obamacare is defeated!!
Romney has yet to consolidate the center-right, and might not, and might not have to.
In 1980, with John Anderson, a centrist Republican, and Ed Clark, a libertarian, taking 8 percent of the vote between them, Ronald Reagan, a conservative Republican, still managed to trounce Jimmy Carter, 51 to 41 percent.
There are some differences and some similarities this time. Mitt Romney is a centrist, the Libertarians have a fine candidate (for them) in a former 2-term Republican Governor of New Mexico. The Constitution Party also has a fine candidate, a multi-term Congressman from Virginia (but on how many states, and which states, will he be on the ballot?). Plus, there’s a possibility that Americans Elect will nominate Buddy Roemer, a former Republican Governor of Louisiana, or Rocky Anderson, a former Democratic Mayor of Salt Lake City.
The Democrats will definitely seek to make each of these three candidates viable. I even think they’ll figure things out, and help get them onto the ballot in select states such as Ohio and Virginia.
On the other hand, the Green Party candidate will be a nothing candidate on few ballots.
With continued softness in the economy, it won’t matter. Romney will landslide even with various center-right third party candidates taking significant numbers of votes. (By the way, this is the scenario that is most probable.)
But, should there be a pick-up in the economy, it’s possible the stars will align to the benefit of Mr. Big Ears.
You must remember, that Obama has had a monopoly of time, media worship, and campaign edge for over six months. He has been running for re-election for two years, unopposed from either his own party or any Republican. That Romney is where he is at at this stage is amazing, IMHO. Meanwhile the country is going to hell in a hand basket with a leaderless, egomanic Obama steering the ship of state into failure across the board. Just like Adolf Hitler blamed everyone around him for his Third Reich failure, when the real problem was Hitler himself. And....IMHO, Adolf Hitler and Barack Hussein Obama are one and the same!!!
But......I’ll give you another tidbit. The folks really being hurt by Obama are American Blacks, other minorities and young folks. Witness the job opportunities for these folks. There are literally none, with the exception being, low wage service industry jobs!!! Under the Obama thumb, they will never be free to grow and succeed. Sad!!!
Obama will keep them chained to the bottom of our economic totem pole forever, so that he can remain in power. Obama cares about no one but himself. He must be defeated, so that all Americans can really have the oppotunity to live the true American dream, uninhibited by an oppressive, Obama government. More on that as this campaign moves along.
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