Those Wisconsin polls truly are confusing. Walker shows strength, The GOP Senate candidates all show leads. Ron Johnson was elected, and yet they are in solid blue territory when it comes to Obama. If the state-level polls are all maintained, I don't see how Wisconsin would not be in play for the Presidential race. I get why states like Massachusetts can split between a leftie President and a center right candidate like Brown, but we are are talking about strong conservatives across the board in Wisconsin AND support for a failed leftist Obama at the same time.
It is. The Obama lead in the Rasmussen state poll is equal to the margin of error. And probably straight racial politics accounts for the difference -- black folks and guilty white "moderates" who responded "undecided" on the statewide races and picked Obama (black unemployment statistics be damned) on the basis of skin color alone.
It wasn’t too long ago Wisconsin was considered a liberal state. Marginally so. Bush didn’t lose by too great a deficit but still liberal. Many of those people who put Walker and Johnson into office voted for Feingold and Obama so it isn’t unimaginable they would be receptive to Obama when the alternative is the watered down liberal Romney.
Could also be as simple as liberals having a willingness to re-elect Obama while a number of conservatives so willing to re-elect Walker plan on abstaining with Romney.
My sense is that people nationally don’t like Romney and don’t want to elect him. Polls seem to reflect that in the likability question. But Obama keeps pressing their buttons. Just how far can he go before enough people relent and push Romney relunctantly to one term. I don’t know the answer. I’m committed firmly against any vote no matter the circumstamce but consider myself an outlier n this one. So it’s just a matter of what issue fially pushes people completely over the edge. Could be gay marriage if Rass’s polls are accurate.