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To: No Truce With Kings

>Why stock prices are up?
If you are holding dollars you can only buy goods/services that are traded in dollars. Thus these options:
a)Land in USA: Nope market still falling
b)US Treasuries: Nope, interest rates are less than inflation
c)US stocks:Yes, some companies are doing well and paying dividend
d)other?


6 posted on 05/24/2012 8:34:51 AM PDT by jonose
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To: jonose

Actually, the answer is simple.

Any asset — whether real estate, physical assets, or a corporation — represent a fraction of the value of the total economy. The money supply — no matter how large or small it is — is also a measure of the total economy.

If the government only issued 1 billion zloties then a corporation that represented 1/1000th of the total economy would be worth 1 million zloties. Since each share of stock represents a fraction of the value of a corporation, if the company issued 1 millon shares, each share of would be worth 1 zloty.

Now the government runs the presses and prints up an addtional billion zloties. There are now 2 billion zloties in circulation, but that company still represents 1/1000th of the total value of the economy. So the value of each share jumps to 2 zloties. (And the company could double its dividend without endangering the company’s cash flow.)

Mind, that a loaf of bread that cost 1 centizloty before the quantitative easing would now cost 2 centizloties (and the price of everything else would go up similarly, and so after a time would wages).

The only people that win are those owing money or those owning overvalued assets. Someone who borrowed 10 zloties pre-QE would still owe 10 zloties. But they are paying the loan back with centizloties that buy half of what they did when the money was borrowed.

Similarly, that guy that bought tulip bulbs or comic books or houses during a speculative bubble that has burst would be able to sell that asset at close to the same price (in zloties) at which it was purchased — because a zloty buys have as much as it did when the overvalued asset was purchased.

Since the US government is the country’s biggest borrower (and ultimately hold paper on most of the undewater real estate), it will be the big winner from devaluation of the dollar. But if you own assets that are actually worth something — whether gold coins or shares in a profitable company — you will at least retain the value of those assets, because they will increase in price as the dollar inflates.

But if you hold your assets in dollars — whether as passbook savings or US Treasuries — you are hosed.

As Dick Cheney would say: “Big time.”


9 posted on 05/24/2012 12:07:35 PM PDT by No Truce With Kings (Ten years on FreeRepublic and counting.)
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