Posted on 05/26/2012 5:44:07 AM PDT by tutstar
000 WTNT32 KNHC 261137 TCPAT2
BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012 800 AM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012
...BERYL MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COASTLINE...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.0N 76.0W ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SE OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM ESE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST. BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD OR SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST EXPECTED ON SUNDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF BERYL WILL BE NEAR THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATE SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO SOUTH CAROLINA ON SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA ALONG THE CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA COAST LATE TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.
STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...
COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGIA...AND NORTH FLORIDA... 1 TO 3 FT
THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION...WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...GEORGIA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA COASTS OVER THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.
RAINFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.
$$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/FRANKLIN
If it misses us it's a good thing, but I hope we get some badly-needed peripheral rain.
Things are so dry around here the cows are giving evaporated milk.
Leni
check the pic.
Hurricane Betsy, back in 1965, began going up the Atlantic coast, did a complete loopy-de-loop, then came back down to Miami, entered the Gulf of Mexico, and hit New Orleans. First hurricane I ever lived through. In those days, we didn’t evacuate. Thankfully, New Orleans didn’t experience the flooding that resulted from Katrina.
In the mid 1980s there was a storm called Elena that threatened the Gulf Coast, went west to Texas I believe, then came back and headed east and hugged the Gulf Coast of Louisiana for days. It wasn’t too strong of a storm if I recall correctly. Didn’t do any serious property damage to Louisiana.
Here in Jax we have fires going and its gray and smoky...we need the rain to put the fires , wet the brush and ground and get our water levels up!
Bring it on!
Looking at historic storm tracks, there have been a few to behave like that, but they eventually make a beeline for the southern Appalchians and stall out.
Was that the same year as Bonnie and Floyd ?
Amen! I’m in the same town as you. I’ve had a runny nose for months, if it’s not smoke it’s pollen. Can’t get a break.
I had to look it up but it looks like Bonnie was in ‘98 and Floyd in ‘99.
we’ve had our share of hurricaines, this town is ready for that...NOW we need torrential rains..the smoke and pollen is bad now, but if we don’t get rain, fires will be leaping across freeways again!
It seems Beryl formed from what was the remnants of that storm.
Alberto was last seen heading Northeast... So maybe when the cyclone reformed, it headed WSW...
If Beryl was formed from the remains of Alberto, it seems like this is a twofer storm -- two named storms from one area of disturbance (or whatever)...
But we are on the 'B's for named storms because Alberto was the first named storm of the season...
Yeah and we don’t need leaping flames. Bad stuff. City of Jax is tweeting and I just followed Cantore...may regret following Cantore. He is probably a high volume tweeter lol.
5 pm is out
000
WTNT32 KNHC 262054
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012
500 PM EDT SAT MAY 26 2012
...HURRICANE HUNTERS INVESTIGATING BERYL...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL
CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING
WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF
THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...
COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGIA...AND NORTH FLORIDA...
1 TO 3 FT
THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION...WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE
RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY
GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST FROM
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH CAROLINA OVER THE MEMORIAL DAY
WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA.
RAINFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
NEXT ADVISORY
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/FRANKLIN
Let it rain, Bob! We need the rain in Central FLA.
Prayers to anybody that gets whacked ............................................ FRegards
THANK YOU SO MUCH!
Leave it to a dedicated Freepr to wade through all the storm sutff ( pun intented) so I don’t have to try to figure out 400 or more weather maps, listen to TV “updates” every 3 minutes, or see Drudge headlines” storm coming”!
You are succinct, to the point,and clear and yet focus on the impt stuff.I think Fox news should just contract with you!
Now , get ready for the 24-7 weather coverage with the guy standing in the rain and wind yelling
...”Yeah, its really coming down here, yeah, wow, the wind is now 3 miles an hour!”..ha.
(Just hadda say it. And I like your tagline! True dat!)
Jacksonville is getting bands and gusty winds... glad it’s not a strong storm. I was in Beaufort Sc for Hugo and a hurricane in the dark is not my #1 choice!
I like this page:
I am lightly live-blogging the conditions in Brunswick at our Canadian sister site- starting here:
http://www.freedominion.com.pa/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?p=1713343#p1713343
And for those of you who remember me from old times I am infinitely better after the untimely death of Miss Emily. About a year ago the darkness lifted and I went over to the Island to look up the widow of an old friend & neighbor of mine. I guess we’re seeing each and as a bonus she gave me a job. too.
per nhc center about to move inland
My folks lived in Beaufort during Hugo. I moved to Charleston the spring afterwards. The immense tree damage was really shocking.
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