Buerkle wasn’t helped but she was already in a rat leaning seat. It’s only about an iota more rat. The POTUS results seem to have changed by less than a % point.
That’s one big 1%, though. There’s a big difference between a 48% Bush 2004 CD and a 47% Bush 2004 CD.
I think that Maffei should be favored over Buerkle in the old NY-25 (I haven’t learned the new numbers yet). However, we’ll definitely pick up the old NY-26, we’ll probably pick up the old NY-23, we have a decent chance of beating Slaughter in the new Monroe Couny CD, and I think we’ll hold the other GOP-held Upstate CDs.