I think this guy is right on target. I predicted a Reaganesque landslide back at the first of the year...that’s my story and I’m sticking with it.
It likely won’t be as Reaganesque in the EC, due to the population distribution these days, but its going to be a slaughter.
This election is simply a mandate on Obama.. the republican candidate is largely irrellevant.
I know that sounds callous and cynical, but its true.
You can’t run the country into the ground, and think you are going to have any shot at re-election.
Obama has the distinction of being the only president in the modern era who will have fewer americans working at the end of his term than there were at the beginning of his term. You can’t spin that away, you can’t read a teleprompter and get out of it, you can’t propoganda and lie your way around it.
The naive youth who ran to this guy in 08, are now out there without jobs, the youth coming out of college today, most won’t be able to find a job, at least not one that isn’t flipping burgers.
The very idea this election is going to be close is LAUGHABLE on its face. The press is going to keep up the lie through the summer, in hopes that their boy can somehow turn it around, but the reality is he can’t.
Obama is NOT an astute politician, and frankly he’s not that astute at all. He’s been playing in a league that requires talent well above his ability and its obvious to everyone.
By fall when the writing is on the wall, the press will finally realize the deal is done, the bloods in the water, and will turn on him. The more obvious it is this guys going down, and going down hard, the more petty and angry he’s going to become and act. And the more he acts like that, the lower his numbers are going to go.
I challenge anyone out there, get off free republic and go talk to those swing voters you know that voted for Obama last time... don’t be condesending, don’t be told you so, just go and talk to them and find out if they intend to vote for him this time... You’ll see that it just ain’t happening folks. Swing voters will easily break 5 to 3 to 2 to 1 for the republican this cycle, if not worse and there is no way you win an election with that reality.
You cannot lose 40% of the vote by a 5 to 3 or 2 to 1 margin and think you have any chance of winning. Obama will try a desperate EC win, yielding the popular vote but try to hang onto enough EC votes to squeat it out, but its just not there.