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To: tellw

Obama is toast in Nov.

This race is already statistically over, just Obama and his handlers aren’t willing to accept it.

Romney OUTRAISED Obama last month... He’s lost the rust belt, with the exception or Illinois & MN. FL, NC, VA are lost... Obama will not and cannot win, his top is 42-43% of the popular voate and how he’s running his campaign, he won’t even get that.

By November the real story will be, WILL REPUBLICANS ACTUALLY GAIN 13 SEATS and take the senate by a Filabuster proof majority.

The presidential race ended, when it was clear Republicans were not going to put up someone who could be painted as something more scary and dangerous than Obama. Romney for his many faults, cannot be painted this way. Obama’s over.

Oh don’t get me wrong, I’m sure some polls will claim the race is close long past the time its apparent its not, just like they tried to pretend the race was tightening in WI, or that the spenditure difference was why, regardless of the fact every poll pretty much told the story long ago, that voters had long made up their minds and all the political advertising didn’t change any statistically noticeable vote.

Lets look at even WI exit polling shall we.... When asked who they were going to vote for or president, they broke down as 44% Obama, 37% romney and 19% neither. Guess where those 19% are going on election day??? Nearly all will go for NOT OBAMA. If Obama cannot exit poll better than 44%, in a race this close to November, he’s not going to pull more than that much of the vote in that state in Nov. And if he loses WI by 8-10 points, he’s going to lose MI, PA, by similar margins and OH, IA and IN by even larger margins. The Midwest/rust belt is LOST to Obama, MN and IL are the most likely not to switch, but even they cannot be counted on as impossible.

Don’t kid yourself, about how the exit polling (later polls fixed for the obviously sampling flaws that showed a tight race) somehow showed WI was in good shape as far as Obama was concerned for NOVEMBER.. they did not, they showed data that should have had any political advisor on the Obama 2012 campaing crapping their pants.

If Obama is polling 44% in Wisconsin, he’s politically a dead man walking, don’t let anyone tell you differently.

If he’s Polling in a general poll at 50-50 in any state among “registered voters”, he’s truthfully down 5 points.
If Romney is Tied or Slightly ahead in polling in MI under those circumstances, Obbama will not only lose MI, but lose it big.

The Presidential election is over (short of some unforseen event shifting the completely political landscape) and Obama will have the distinction of replacing Carter as the worst president in the modern age. Not only that, but also be the ONLY president in the modern age to leave office with fewer people working the day he left office, than the day he took office.

Since this guy with political talent and abilites that don’t rate college intramurals, is trying to play in the majors.. and failing miserably, might as well end this post in true sports fashion....

Hey Obama...

Nah Nah Nah Nah...
Nah Nah Nah Nah...
Hey Hey Hey...

GOOD BYE..


11 posted on 06/07/2012 11:27:22 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay

Good analysis.

I don’t think any “October Surprise” would help the evil bastard.


17 posted on 06/07/2012 7:51:48 PM PDT by unkus (Silence Is Consent)
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